NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	6.3 [561]		MVP	Justin Holiday (GSW): +15.0%
Golden State Warriors	112		Comeback	1.8 [1126]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -11.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	23	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	11	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Kyrie Irving	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	23	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mike Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	7	79%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.03	15	68%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	17	63%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	57%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	2	83%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	13	43%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	28.4	16.7	33.0	2.6	31.5	141.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.5%

GSW +1.7%

CLE -9.8%

GSW +5.7%

GSW +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	13.0	15.1	95.9	113.1	104.2
season	15.9	13.6		108.7	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	16.8	18.2	14.6	16.3
GSW	11.1	12.0	13.1	16.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	45	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-23	28	16.0	16.5	-0.43	11.5	14.1	-2.53
Brendan Haywood	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	13.0	16.3	-3.31	12.5	13.0	-0.49
Joe Harris	15	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-9	0	16.1	16.3	-0.25	10.1	13.5	-3.48
Kevin Love	79	79	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-11	4	16.2	16.5	-0.31	13.2	12.1	1.04
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-12	6	16.3	16.0	0.33	13.1	12.3	0.80
J.R. Smith	84	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-8	-2	16.3	16.1	0.24	13.6	9.1	4.49
Tristan Thompson	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-8	-2	16.0	16.7	-0.71	13.5	12.1	1.44
James Jones	37	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	-4	-10	15.1	17.0	-1.92	15.1	11.7	3.41
Timofey Mozgov	54	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-1	-16	16.7	15.7	0.99	12.1	14.1	-2.00
Matthew Dellavedova	30	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.01	-20	2	-22	18.0	15.5	2.44	11.9	13.5	-1.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	39	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	3	12	13.2	12.8	0.37	16.8	16.0	0.82
David Lee	35	35	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	8	2	13.5	12.7	0.83	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Andre Iguodala	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	7	4	13.5	12.4	1.01	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Stephen Curry	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	8	2	12.9	13.3	-0.38	16.6	15.5	1.10
Justin Holiday	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	8	2	13.9	12.4	1.47	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Klay Thompson	63	62	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	10	-2	12.4	13.9	-1.47	16.4	16.1	0.35
Shaun Livingston	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	10	-2	13.3	12.9	0.38	15.5	16.6	-1.10
Harrison Barnes	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	11	-4	12.4	13.5	-1.01	17.7	15.0	2.74
Draymond Green	64	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	10	-2	12.7	13.5	-0.83	16.9	15.1	1.81
Marreese Speights	60	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	15	-12	12.8	13.2	-0.37	16.0	16.8	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.8%
BOS 77, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NOH 86, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%