NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	6.3 [551]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +20.2%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	1.2 [164]		LVP	Gary Neal (CHA): -14.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.11	0.05	20	66%	0.26	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.06	0.12	-0.02	10	65%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	25	54%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	9%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Terrence Ross	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	10	35%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	15	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	22	47%	0.02	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	2	83%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.6	29.6	14.8	23.0	1.7	42.4	135.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.9%

TOR -6.6%

CHA +1.4%

CHA +22.3%

TOR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	108.4	101.1	104.2
season	15.6	15.6		98.9	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		106.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.6	16.1	15.8	16.4	15.7
TOR	15.4	13.9	17.8	12.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	73	74	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.28	18	-10	28	15.7	16.0	-0.30	15.2	13.1	2.03
Kemba Walker	78	78	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.24	17	-9	26	15.8	15.5	0.24	15.3	12.2	3.08
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	60	58	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.08	22	-14	36	15.6	15.9	-0.34	15.4	13.7	1.61
Gerald Henderson	74	75	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.16	15	-7	22	15.7	15.8	-0.11	14.8	14.4	0.47
Bismack Biyombo	49	52	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-4	16	16.4	15.0	1.41	15.7	13.6	2.03
Jason Maxiell	46	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	12	-16	15.0	16.4	-1.41	13.6	15.7	-2.03
Brian Roberts	37	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	17	-26	15.6	15.8	-0.13	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Noah Vonleh	22	20	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.01	-10	18	-28	16.0	15.7	0.30	13.1	15.2	-2.03
Gary Neal	36	36	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.20	-21	29	-50	16.0	15.6	0.40	13.3	15.6	-2.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	36	36	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-19	30	15.1	14.5	0.64	16.0	15.5	0.49
Greivis Vasquez	57	57	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.29	13	-21	34	13.6	16.4	-2.78	16.5	14.5	2.04
James Johnson	46	48	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.27	12	-20	32	13.7	15.8	-2.10	16.0	15.5	0.51
Patrick Patterson	52	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-13	18	15.0	14.4	0.61	16.5	14.7	1.82
Lou Williams	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.5	15.1	-0.66	16.3	14.9	1.41
Terrence Ross	42	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	6	-20	15.5	14.2	1.28	15.2	16.1	-0.89
Jonas Valanciunas	43	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.05	-16	8	-24	15.7	13.9	1.80	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Landry Fields	20	20	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	13	-34	18.1	13.8	4.33	13.1	16.4	-3.26
Amir Johnson	46	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	7	-22	13.6	15.8	-2.18	14.7	16.7	-1.91
Kyle Lowry	73	72	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	7	-22	14.9	14.3	0.59	15.6	16.2	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.0%
POR 97, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.8%
CHA 92, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0	93.3%