NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	6.9 [441]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +29.7%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.5 [830]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -13.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Calathes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.02	7	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Jarnell Stokes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	57%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Mike Conley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	15	55%	0.13	5	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	0.00	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.19	0.03	14	78%	0.37	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.07
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	108%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	15	37%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	10	70%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	42%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	29.3	2.4	32.9	132.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.8%

MEM -2.1%

MEM -5.9%

ATL +21.3%

ATL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.1	88.7	101.1	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		103.8	106.7
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.8	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	14.4	15.6	14.3	14.6
ATL	16.0	15.6	13.8	16.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	36	36	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-14	18	14.5	14.6	-0.11	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Beno Udrih	39	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-14	18	13.8	15.1	-1.26	15.7	15.2	0.43
Tony Allen	39	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-12	14	15.3	14.2	1.10	17.3	14.1	3.22
Jarnell Stokes	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-11	12	12.1	14.9	-2.74	19.7	15.0	4.70
Quincy Pondexter	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-5	0	13.9	14.8	-0.87	15.6	15.4	0.18
Nick Calathes	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-12	14	13.8	14.9	-1.08	15.9	15.2	0.65
Jon Leuer	19	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.5	0.57	16.2	15.2	0.93
Vince Carter	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-6	2	14.2	14.9	-0.72	13.9	16.6	-2.70
Tayshaun Prince	65	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-6	2	14.6	14.6	0.05	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Courtney Lee	56	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.2	13.8	1.42	14.7	16.3	-1.62
Marc Gasol	65	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	5	-20	14.8	14.1	0.71	15.7	14.8	0.90
Mike Conley	68	68	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	7	-24	14.9	13.9	1.05	15.5	15.3	0.16

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-5	20	15.6	14.9	0.75	14.9	13.9	1.07
Pero Antic	34	35	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-7	24	14.6	15.9	-1.28	16.0	13.8	2.15
Kyle Korver	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-3	16	15.3	15.8	-0.51	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Thabo Sefolosha	37	40	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	13.7	16.5	-2.84	16.4	13.3	3.07
Jeff Teague	63	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	1	8	16.5	13.2	3.31	15.3	13.0	2.35
DeMarre Carroll	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	8	-6	16.7	13.1	3.53	14.1	15.5	-1.34
Dennis Schroder	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	9	-8	13.2	16.5	-3.31	13.0	15.3	-2.35
Al Horford	60	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.23	-7	17	-24	16.1	14.2	1.96	13.9	15.8	-1.96
Mike Scott	31	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	15	-20	14.4	15.9	-1.47	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Kent Bazemore	24	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	17	-24	15.3	15.5	-0.16	13.0	15.1	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.54,0.72,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.74,1	91.6%
WAS 104, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.74,1	91.1%
NJN 90, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.79,0.72,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.75,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.97,1	91.0%