inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 109 Excitement4.6 [887] MVPJodie Meeks (DET): +30.8%
Orlando Magic 86 Comeback1.7 [619] LVPBrandon Jennings (DET): -12.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jodie Meeks0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.050.051694%0.332-0.02475%-0.01
Kyle Singler0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01856%0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.01642%0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.033100%0.011-0.0000%0.00
D.J. Augustin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01861%0.022-0.012100%0.00
Caron Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cartier Martin0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03433%0.011-0.02450%-0.02
Andre Drummond-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.001145%-0.0200.001631%-0.11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03825%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe-0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00847%0.023-0.073100%0.02
Brandon Jennings-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.020.01928%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.010.011160%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.011450%0.063-0.05475%0.01
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.0930%0.0020.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03555%0.0000.0010%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03667%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.010.01950%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.030.011050%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.02-0.05850%0.025-0.0700%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01625%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.525.915.829.21.528.3125.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +22.1%
ORL -4.0%
DET +25.3%
DET +5.9%
DET +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game14.515.715.1113.590.5104.2
season15.714.9104.0100.4
opponent15.315.3105.9105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.215.014.513.314.5
ORL14.815.015.517.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond61620.490.010.48-0.011761115.113.51.5215.016.8-1.83
D.J. Augustin59590.400.100.30-0.252212114.015.3-1.2415.815.30.51
Jodie Meeks55550.370.130.25-0.181941513.915.3-1.3216.115.01.13
Jonas Jerebko41410.340.160.18-0.161761114.314.7-0.4216.714.91.77
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope52510.260.240.01-0.241761113.615.6-1.9916.714.52.19
Kyle Singler40400.220.28-0.060.10419-1515.214.01.1415.016.1-1.08
Caron Butler35340.150.35-0.200.03419-1516.013.62.3914.816.1-1.38
Joel Anthony24230.130.37-0.25-0.251310313.314.9-1.6317.415.12.35
Brandon Jennings37360.100.40-0.300.07122-2115.314.01.2415.315.8-0.51
Greg Monroe43420.060.44-0.390.14-326-2914.714.30.4215.415.9-0.53
Cartier Martin550.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2114.414.5-0.1213.415.8-2.38
Spencer Dinwiddie550.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2114.414.5-0.1213.415.8-2.38
Anthony Tolliver2322-0.010.51-0.52-0.07221-1914.314.6-0.2714.316.1-1.80

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willie Green10110.00-0.500.50-0.062-252713.715.9-2.1817.714.13.63
Maurice Harkless1112-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222116.815.51.3216.714.22.56
Andrew Nicholson1112-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-222116.815.51.3216.714.22.56
Luke Ridnour2324-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-211917.115.21.9513.614.8-1.24
Ben Gordon2119-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-211915.915.60.2613.714.7-1.03
Kyle O'Quinn4142-0.09-0.410.310.14-8-15715.715.60.1014.214.8-0.57
Nikola Vucevic4344-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-201714.516.6-2.0815.313.81.53
Elfrid Payton4850-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-13315.016.4-1.4014.214.9-0.73
Dewayne Dedmon3434-0.27-0.23-0.050.08-12-11-116.315.31.0015.613.91.71
Evan Fournier5555-0.30-0.20-0.090.14-15-8-715.515.9-0.4313.715.7-2.00
Tobias Harris6264-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-12115.216.5-1.2814.514.5-0.03
Channing Frye5150-0.42-0.08-0.350.22-22-1-2116.215.01.1313.515.6-2.11
Victor Oladipo6563-0.600.10-0.700.28-307-3716.014.81.2014.614.40.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 94, POR 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.5%
HOU 123, SAC 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
HOU 120, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%