inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 115 Excitement7.9 [266] MVPDamian Lillard (POR): +75.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Comeback999.0 [1] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -15.0%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0.750,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.72,0.75,0.750.260.520.022175%0.802-0.041191%0.06
Wesley Matthews0.400,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.40.150.24-0.001571%0.421-0.021100%0.00
CJ McCollum0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.060.003100%0.1300.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.01450%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Dorell Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.01533%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Thomas Robinson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chris Kaman-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.01837%-0.044-0.1000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.120.000.032839%-0.054-0.10887%0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.210.210.040.14-0.031755%0.252-0.044100%0.04
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.160.160.070.07-0.023452%0.202-0.04978%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.004100%0.1200.001100%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00478%0.071-0.021100%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.020.040.02956%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.021457%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00450%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lamb00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.0250%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.530.015.424.42.433.52.418.6153.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +42.6%
POR +18.4%
OKC -6.3%
OKC -7.9%
POR +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPOROKCNBAPOROKCNBA
this game15.514.415.1108.5103.7104.2
season15.314.5106.5105.7
opponent15.015.0103.5102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
POR15.314.718.213.416.815.5
OKC14.715.313.115.411.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright18180.89-0.391.270.5113-92213.415.9-2.5512.714.7-1.96
Damian Lillard92920.85-0.351.210.3517-133015.416.0-0.5714.513.60.88
LaMarcus Aldridge90900.68-0.180.870.429-51415.217.3-2.1214.712.52.24
Wesley Matthews85880.63-0.130.750.2812-82015.714.90.7513.916.5-2.58
Allen Crabbe50470.190.31-0.110.1713-215.315.7-0.4314.913.90.96
Steve Blake61630.010.49-0.47-0.0113-214.317.2-2.9414.614.00.64
Thomas Robinson1517-0.180.68-0.87-0.12-26-818.315.03.2912.514.7-2.24
Chris Kaman4139-0.200.70-0.89-0.02-610-1615.215.7-0.5117.112.84.28
Joel Freeland4649-0.340.84-1.17-0.10-812-2017.014.42.6313.115.4-2.35
CJ McCollum2122-0.541.04-1.580.07-2125-4617.215.12.1614.414.30.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins48450.52-1.021.540.327-111814.814.00.8315.415.6-0.27
Nick Collison39370.39-0.891.290.284-81215.113.91.1416.315.11.25
Ish Smith32290.21-0.710.920.075-91412.515.2-2.6916.215.21.01
Anthony Morrow59600.02-0.520.540.08-2-2014.714.00.6814.716.5-1.79
Jeremy Lamb12-0.02-0.480.47-0.134-8121.014.5-13.482.015.8-13.77
Steven Adams4445-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-5614.514.20.3216.614.71.82
Reggie Jackson7675-0.18-0.320.15-0.449-132214.214.6-0.3615.415.8-0.47
Andre Roberson4241-0.660.16-0.83-0.49-62-813.914.7-0.7816.215.01.20
Russell Westbrook7577-0.710.21-0.92-0.45-95-1415.212.52.6915.216.2-1.01
Serge Ibaka6868-0.890.39-1.29-0.57-117-1813.915.1-1.1415.315.9-0.68
Perry Jones5151-1.160.66-1.82-0.51-2218-4014.214.5-0.2715.515.50.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.46,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 111, MIL 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.78,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.02,087.9%
CHA 108, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.22,0.33,0.04,087.6%
POR 113, SAC 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.87,0.7,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.22,0,087.6%