NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	10.1 [55]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +31.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	15.7 [43]		LVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): -21.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31	-0.03	0.33	-0.00	10	64%	0.40	3	-0.09	16	81%	0.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.19	2	-0.17	8	87%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	13	69%	0.18	6	-0.28	13	100%	0.13
Jim Jackson	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	10	43%	-0.13	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.14	0.17	0.00	16	74%	0.34	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.09	0.01	29	55%	0.07	2	-0.11	7	71%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-0.01	17	40%	-0.07	3	-0.09	14	64%	-0.02
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	5	38%	-0.07	1	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	35.9	15.0	27.1	2.6	39.9	0.3	31.6	178.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +27.5%

HOU +53.7%

HOU +1.6%

MIL -33.4%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.7	105.7	101.9	100.5
season	16.5	15.3		98.8	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.2	15.5	16.0	13.2	10.1	14.3
MIL	15.5	15.8	16.8	17.3	13.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	84	84	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-14	32	13.6	17.2	-3.61	16.6	13.6	2.95
Cuttino Mobley	91	91	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-9	22	13.7	18.3	-4.59	16.2	14.8	1.38
Steve Francis	98	97	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-1	6	14.2	16.4	-2.28	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Maurice Taylor	62	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	14.4	14.1	0.28	17.0	14.5	2.47
Jim Jackson	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.52	-6	10	-16	13.8	15.5	-1.72	16.1	15.8	0.23
Mark Jackson	20	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	0	4	14.2	14.3	-0.07	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Eric Piatkowski	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	16.9	14.1	2.83	14.5	16.1	-1.64
Scott Padgett	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	7	-10	18.6	14.0	4.57	12.5	16.2	-3.69
Mike Wilks	2	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	7	-10	1.5	14.6	-13.05	2.0	16.3	-14.25
Bostjan Nachbar	27	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	16.7	13.5	3.18	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	53	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.18	-9	13	-22	15.7	12.9	2.78	15.1	16.8	-1.71

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	34	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.20	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.9	0.33	14.4	14.2	0.20
Dan Gadzuric	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-1	-2	15.4	16.1	-0.64	15.6	14.1	1.44
Damon Jones	73	74	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-9	14	15.7	16.6	-0.88	13.7	15.7	-1.95
Brian Skinner	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.9	0.12	15.6	13.8	1.81
Erick Strickland	16	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	4	-12	16.3	15.9	0.39	15.5	14.1	1.41
Daniel Santiago	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-9	14	16.8	15.2	1.60	14.5	14.1	0.45
Desmond Mason	93	93	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	15.9	16.5	-0.59	14.3	14.2	0.06
Michael Redd	101	101	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	16.0	15.7	0.24	14.1	19.2	-5.14
Toni Kukoc	36	36	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	4	-12	15.0	16.5	-1.54	13.7	14.6	-0.84
Joe Smith	78	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.52	-2	-2	0	16.1	15.6	0.52	14.2	14.6	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.78,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	88.4%
GSW 128, NOP 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.5,0.25,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	88.4%
HOU 111, CHH 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	88.3%