NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	96		Excitement	7.3 [358]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +25.6%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	3.9 [394]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (DEN): -24.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenneth Faried	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.01	11	74%	0.29	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	20	63%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	28%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	17	32%	-0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.11	0.01	19	67%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	14	61%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	60%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	59%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	7	21%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.7	30.1	15.4	24.6	2.4	30.2	126.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +33.2%

DEN -8.7%

DEN -1.7%

BKN +26.1%

BKN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.1	103.2	108.5	104.2
season	14.6	15.3		103.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.6	14.8	14.0	14.8	14.6
BKN	14.8	17.1	16.0	17.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	62	63	0.36	-0.86	1.21	0.00	12	-18	30	14.9	13.8	1.08	16.1	16.5	-0.47
Timofey Mozgov	56	56	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-14	22	13.9	15.5	-1.58	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Jusuf Nurkic	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	1	-8	17.0	13.7	3.23	16.3	16.2	0.08
Arron Afflalo	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-6	6	14.6	14.1	0.56	15.9	18.2	-2.32
Alonzo Gee	31	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	6	-18	16.6	13.5	3.08	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Nate Robinson	34	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	4	-14	14.7	14.5	0.23	17.7	15.5	2.21
Ty Lawson	80	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	14.1	17.6	-3.55	16.6	14.0	2.56
Wilson Chandler	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-2	-2	13.9	17.4	-3.58	15.7	18.4	-2.73
JJ Hickson	23	23	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.20	-13	7	-20	13.3	15.0	-1.61	18.8	15.4	3.43

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	49	48	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-5	16	17.0	15.4	1.51	14.8	14.3	0.52
Sergey Karasev	63	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	0	6	15.8	17.0	-1.19	14.4	14.8	-0.42
Joe Johnson	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	15.9	17.1	-1.23	14.2	15.5	-1.30
Jarrett Jack	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	15.9	17.6	-1.69	14.5	14.9	-0.48
Mason Plumlee	80	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	16.2	16.6	-0.48	14.2	16.3	-2.04
Cory Jefferson	13	12	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	3	0	17.1	16.1	0.98	15.4	14.4	0.98
Darius Morris	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	3	0	18.7	15.5	3.13	15.9	14.2	1.77
Brandon Davies	4	5	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	2	2	20.7	16.0	4.72	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Brook Lopez	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	5	-4	16.6	16.2	0.48	16.3	14.2	2.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	25	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	7	-8	16.2	16.3	-0.10	14.7	14.5	0.22
Kevin Garnett	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	11	-16	15.5	16.5	-1.01	16.3	13.9	2.48
Mirza Teletovic	33	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.08	-7	13	-20	15.6	16.6	-0.97	12.9	15.5	-2.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.54,0.81,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.91,1,1	91.8%
NOH 67, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,1	91.6%
PHX 92, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.38,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.6%