NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	6.0 [606]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +10.2%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	1.9 [275]		LVP	Nene (WAS): -15.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	87%	0.16	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Goran Dragic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06
Isaiah Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	38%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shavlik Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	0.01	0.07	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	11	63%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	11	48%	-0.02	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	13	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	15	40%	-0.06	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	0.7	29.9	15.7	24.6	2.4	29.4	130.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +50.5%

PHX +9.0%

WAS -3.2%

WAS -3.0%

WAS -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.1	110.6	98.9	104.2
season	14.4	15.1		103.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.0		101.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.4	12.9	12.6	16.2	14.6
WAS	14.7	16.6	16.9	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	34	32	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	0	12	14.6	14.6	0.00	18.4	15.0	3.42
Isaiah Thomas	47	44	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	14.6	14.7	-0.13	16.3	16.1	0.19
Marcus Morris	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	2	8	14.2	15.2	-0.91	17.3	14.5	2.82
Markieff Morris	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	4	4	14.7	14.2	0.49	15.8	17.3	-1.42
Alex Len	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	10	-8	14.7	14.5	0.27	14.9	17.5	-2.67
Miles Plumlee	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	4	4	15.0	14.4	0.61	18.2	14.7	3.52
Eric Bledsoe	56	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.03	5	7	-2	14.7	14.4	0.28	16.0	16.6	-0.61
PJ Tucker	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	10	-8	15.2	14.2	0.91	14.5	17.3	-2.82
Shavlik Randolph	20	19	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.03	3	9	-6	13.6	14.9	-1.23	17.1	16.0	1.08
Goran Dragic	62	62	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	12	-12	14.4	15.0	-0.63	15.0	18.5	-3.53

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	3	4	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-16	20	10.3	16.4	-6.06	15.2	14.6	0.66
Drew Gooden	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	4.0	16.3	-12.33	20.0	14.6	5.44
Kris Humphries	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-11	10	14.8	17.2	-2.36	15.3	14.1	1.19
Andre Miller	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-6	0	19.4	15.5	3.92	13.2	14.9	-1.69
Otto Porter	30	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-8	4	17.6	15.5	2.13	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Paul Pierce	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-6	0	15.0	17.9	-2.97	14.7	14.5	0.20
Kevin Seraphin	53	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-6	0	16.3	16.1	0.21	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Marcin Gortat	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-6	0	16.1	16.3	-0.21	15.3	14.1	1.18
Bradley Beal	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-2	-8	14.9	17.9	-3.01	15.3	13.7	1.66
Nene	41	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-5	-2	17.9	14.8	3.10	14.2	14.9	-0.73
John Wall	75	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-3	-6	15.7	18.2	-2.45	14.7	14.3	0.39
Rasual Butler	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	17.7	13.6	4.11	14.4	15.0	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%
OKC 102, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.02,0	94.5%
HOU 91, GSW 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	94.4%