NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	73		Excitement	8.0 [241]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +11.2%
Denver Nuggets	76		Comeback	2.9 [492]		LVP	David West (IND): -31.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
CJ Miles	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.02	19	40%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	7	19%	-0.12	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	18%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.31	-0.08	-0.21	0.02	22	39%	-0.27	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	12	66%	0.22	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	4	75%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.12	0.08	-0.02	10	18%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	10	20%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	16	42%	-0.02	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	12	31%	-0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.5	26.5	15.6	30.1	1.8	33.8	133.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +43.5%

DEN +1.4%

DEN +10.9%

IND -12.8%

DEN +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DEN	NBA	IND	DEN	NBA
this game	16.6	14.2	15.1	77.7	81.7	104.2
season	16.0	14.6		102.3	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	15.8	18.9	16.7	16.6
DEN	13.8	14.2	13.9	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	16.4	16.6	-0.26	15.0	13.9	1.02
Lavoy Allen	51	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	0	-3	14.9	18.5	-3.57	14.2	14.3	-0.07
David West	63	64	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-8	13	16.1	17.5	-1.44	13.9	14.9	-0.96
CJ Miles	64	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-4	5	15.7	18.4	-2.66	14.5	13.7	0.84
Luis Scola	31	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	5	-13	17.5	16.1	1.44	14.9	13.9	0.96
Solomon Hill	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	0	-3	16.8	16.2	0.68	13.6	15.1	-1.49
Roy Hibbert	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-3	3	18.5	14.9	3.57	14.3	14.2	0.07
Donald Sloan	70	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	17.0	15.3	1.64	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Rodney Stuckey	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.34	-7	4	-11	16.8	16.0	0.74	14.6	13.3	1.32

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	48	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.51	6	-3	9	14.0	14.5	-0.53	16.8	16.2	0.61
Arron Afflalo	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.49	6	-3	9	13.9	15.1	-1.17	17.4	14.4	2.96
Ty Lawson	73	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.45	4	-1	5	13.7	16.3	-2.63	16.5	16.7	-0.25
Timofey Mozgov	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	13.8	15.6	-1.82	16.9	15.7	1.19
Danilo Gallinari	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-5	13	14.5	13.9	0.53	16.0	17.3	-1.34
JJ Hickson	41	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-2	7	14.1	14.3	-0.25	16.5	16.6	-0.16
Nate Robinson	20	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	4	-5	16.3	13.7	2.63	16.1	16.7	-0.53
Jusuf Nurkic	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.09	1	2	-1	15.6	13.8	1.82	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Wilson Chandler	55	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	14	-25	14.6	13.7	0.93	16.6	16.5	0.04
Alonzo Gee	13	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	8	-13	14.8	14.1	0.62	13.9	17.0	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.83,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.96,0.99,1	92.7%
MIN 136, DAL 140	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.85,1	92.3%
LAL 101, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.92,1	92.3%