NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	9.1 [125]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +11.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	3.6 [606]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -25.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Donald Sloan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	3	43%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.02	15	53%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	12	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
CJ Watson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.03	9	48%	0.03	5	-0.19	7	86%	0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.08	0.01	10	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.09	0.01	8	48%	0.10	1	-0.03	15	47%	-0.10
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	14	59%	0.15	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18,-0.08,-0.26	-0.26	-0.05	-0.20	0.01	27	46%	0.00	4	-0.26	13	69%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	31.2	15.5	28.3	2.4	41.5	144.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.1%

IND -1.9%

LAC +28.1%

IND -13.9%

LAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	15.1	103.1	104.1	104.2
season	16.0	14.6		102.3	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	14.8	15.7	15.5	15.9
LAC	13.1	14.6	12.1	15.1	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	65	66	0.68	-1.18	1.86	0.27	14	-16	30	15.9	15.9	0.00	14.3	12.4	1.93
Luis Scola	33	34	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.16	9	-11	20	14.7	16.5	-1.79	16.6	12.1	4.46
Donald Sloan	40	40	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.14	4	-6	10	14.3	17.0	-2.68	15.1	12.7	2.41
Roy Hibbert	33	33	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.17	1	-3	4	17.6	15.0	2.58	13.2	13.9	-0.74
Damjan Rudez	3	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	3	-8	16.7	15.9	0.82	1.7	14.2	-12.43
CJ Miles	70	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.66	6	-8	14	15.6	16.7	-1.10	14.4	11.8	2.59
Lavoy Allen	61	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.65	2	-4	6	14.9	17.5	-2.58	14.7	11.9	2.78
CJ Watson	60	61	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.56	-11	9	-20	17.0	14.1	2.86	12.1	16.2	-4.04
David West	64	64	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.61	-11	9	-20	16.5	14.7	1.79	12.1	16.6	-4.46
Rodney Stuckey	56	57	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.51	-19	17	-36	16.2	15.4	0.80	12.7	15.1	-2.41

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	69	70	1.13	-0.63	1.77	0.55	20	-18	38	12.3	16.8	-4.48	16.8	13.4	3.37
Blake Griffin	81	81	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.51	16	-14	30	13.2	16.0	-2.81	16.4	13.1	3.37
Matt Barnes	64	62	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.62	11	-9	20	12.4	16.1	-3.79	16.7	14.3	2.40
Chris Paul	76	77	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.49	13	-11	24	13.0	15.9	-2.88	16.6	13.2	3.31
DeAndre Jordan	90	89	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.65	1	1	0	13.5	15.1	-1.58	16.3	11.4	4.91
Chris Douglas-Roberts	20	19	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.17	-7	9	-16	17.6	12.7	4.93	14.0	16.3	-2.33
Glen Davis	25	23	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.09	-13	15	-28	15.7	13.0	2.75	12.5	16.9	-4.45
Jordan Farmar	26	24	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.07	-15	17	-32	15.5	13.0	2.54	12.8	16.9	-4.10
Jamal Crawford	39	40	-0.75	1.25	-2.01	-0.28	-16	18	-34	16.2	12.0	4.16	14.2	17.0	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.57,0.66,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.67,0.99,1	92.7%
CHH 87, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.3%
VAN 84, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.62,0.89,0.77,0.96,1	91.7%