NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	7.5 [329]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +58.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	415.7 [12]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -40.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.58	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58	0.18	0.46	0.05	22	69%	0.70	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.05	14	75%	0.21	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	13	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	11	60%	0.13	2	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Jarnell Stokes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	5	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.15	0.06	8	117%	0.33	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.02	5	100%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.02	-0.03	11	71%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	16	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.05
JaKarr Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.14	-0.28	-0.01	18	42%	-0.16	6	-0.25	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	32.0	15.8	29.1	2.5	41.4	1.8	20.9	168.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +59.9%

PHI -11.2%

PHI -0.3%

MEM +2.8%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHI	NBA	MEM	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	13.7	15.1	112.1	108.5	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		103.8	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.2		103.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.5	17.9	16.2	14.2	16.4	16.2
PHI	13.5	13.4	13.8	15.2	10.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	68	66	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.29	23	-18	41	15.3	17.7	-2.38	13.8	13.4	0.47
Courtney Lee	75	76	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.23	20	-15	35	15.3	18.3	-3.05	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Marc Gasol	75	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-2	9	15.7	17.3	-1.62	13.8	13.5	0.29
Beno Udrih	42	41	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-16	37	15.5	16.6	-1.15	12.5	14.4	-1.89
Mike Conley	87	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.61	-6	11	-17	16.1	16.5	-0.46	13.8	13.3	0.42
Vince Carter	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.44	-7	12	-19	17.3	15.7	1.57	14.7	13.3	1.39
Jon Leuer	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.23	7	-2	9	14.4	16.5	-2.08	12.4	13.9	-1.52
Jarnell Stokes	2	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	25.5	16.0	9.50	13.0	13.7	-0.68
Kosta Koufos	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	11	-17	18.4	15.6	2.81	14.1	13.6	0.53
Nick Calathes	20	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	2	1	15.6	16.3	-0.71	15.6	13.2	2.42
Tony Allen	35	37	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	10	-15	16.5	16.0	0.50	14.4	13.3	1.09
Quincy Pondexter	27	24	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	16	-27	18.6	15.4	3.23	12.4	14.0	-1.67
Tayshaun Prince	33	33	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.08	-17	22	-39	18.1	15.3	2.81	13.0	14.0	-0.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	43	42	0.51	-1.01	1.52	0.19	11	-16	27	13.9	13.5	0.36	17.0	15.6	1.43
Alexey Shved	39	39	0.41	-0.92	1.33	-0.05	16	-21	37	13.7	13.7	0.04	17.4	15.5	1.94
Tony Wroten	37	37	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.11	7	-12	19	14.0	13.5	0.51	17.3	15.6	1.67
Jerami Grant	19	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-9	13	12.1	14.0	-1.91	17.3	15.9	1.44
JaKarr Sampson	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-5	5	9.1	14.0	-4.92	20.1	15.8	4.29
Robert Covington	91	92	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	2	-9	13.9	12.3	1.56	15.9	17.8	-1.89
Hollis Thompson	82	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.58	-2	-3	1	14.1	12.2	1.89	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Michael Carter-Williams	79	78	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.25	-19	14	-33	13.7	13.6	0.05	15.4	18.3	-2.88
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	71	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.28	-19	14	-33	13.4	14.1	-0.71	15.5	17.4	-1.87
Nerlens Noel	62	64	-1.02	0.52	-1.55	-0.55	-16	11	-27	13.7	13.6	0.17	15.6	17.1	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.83,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 118, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,0	90.5%
ORL 85, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.04,0	89.8%
DEN 121, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.23,0,0	89.7%