NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	5.3 [757]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +17.4%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.2 [363]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -11.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.09	-0.03	13	53%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.01	7	75%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.02	0.05	-0.04	3	83%	0.10	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	16	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Pablo Prigioni	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.05	0.03	20	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	14	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	26%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.13	20	60%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	57%	0.03	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	29.5	15.6	22.5	1.7	37.5	130.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.7%

NYK +1.9%

BOS -7.5%

NYK +21.7%

BOS -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	17.3	13.9	15.1	109.8	102.2	104.2
season	16.1	14.3		98.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		103.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	17.9	18.7	17.1	17.3
BOS	16.6	14.0	12.7	12.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-5	16	17.0	17.9	-0.85	13.6	14.5	-0.83
Quincy Acy	36	34	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-12	30	15.6	18.4	-2.77	14.1	13.7	0.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	1	4	18.0	15.9	2.05	14.0	13.7	0.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-6	18	18.2	16.2	1.99	15.1	12.5	2.63
Carmelo Anthony	77	77	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	5	-4	17.4	16.7	0.72	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Jason Smith	31	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	4	-2	16.9	17.4	-0.51	14.7	13.4	1.25
Pablo Prigioni	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	3	0	15.9	17.9	-1.96	11.7	14.9	-3.19
Shane Larkin	39	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.39	-12	18	-30	18.3	16.5	1.80	13.4	14.3	-0.96
Iman Shumpert	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	5	-4	17.7	17.1	0.64	16.5	12.7	3.82
Samuel Dalembert	42	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.29	-11	17	-28	16.7	17.8	-1.07	13.1	14.5	-1.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	8	8	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-12	18	14.2	13.8	0.40	14.0	17.6	-3.58
Gerald Wallace	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-9	12	15.0	13.7	1.25	14.6	17.6	-2.99
Marcus Thornton	42	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-12	18	13.2	14.5	-1.26	17.8	16.9	0.92
Brandon Bass	41	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-10	14	14.1	13.7	0.34	17.4	17.2	0.28
Kelly Olynyk	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-7	8	14.1	13.7	0.47	17.5	17.1	0.49
Phil Pressey	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-3	0	11.7	14.8	-3.10	19.4	16.3	3.18
Jared Sullinger	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	3	-12	15.5	12.8	2.69	17.4	17.2	0.15
Jeff Green	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-3	0	13.4	15.8	-2.38	16.9	18.9	-2.01
Tyler Zeller	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.04	-14	8	-22	13.6	14.2	-0.61	17.1	17.5	-0.36
Rajon Rondo	64	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	5	-16	13.7	14.3	-0.57	16.7	18.6	-1.97
Evan Turner	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.22	-12	6	-18	14.6	11.9	2.65	17.3	17.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.21,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.3,0.35,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
LAL 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
WAS 122, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%