NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	122		Excitement	4.6 [934]		MVP	Tony Delk (ATL): +10.0%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.1 [670]		LVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): -17.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.05	0.07	15	72%	0.14	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.03
Steve Blake	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	8	94%	0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	0.01	6	81%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.06	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	18	51%	-0.03	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	9	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donta Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	-0.06	10	33%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	9	22%	-0.10	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	30.7	15.8	27.4	2.5	30.4	132.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.0%

WAS +10.3%

ATL -4.0%

WAS +8.9%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.5	128.4	96.9	104.0
season	14.7	15.6		104.7	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		108.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.7	14.4	12.8	14.7
ATL	16.3	14.0	13.8	18.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	82	83	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.34	31	-2	33	14.4	16.6	-2.23	15.4	15.8	-0.36
Gilbert Arenas	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.23	27	2	25	14.5	15.5	-1.00	15.2	16.8	-1.59
Kwame Brown	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.34	27	2	25	15.3	13.5	1.85	15.5	15.4	0.11
Brendan Haywood	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	15	-1	15.1	14.0	1.15	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Jared Jeffries	48	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	13	3	14.5	14.9	-0.48	15.8	15.1	0.77
Steve Blake	53	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.33	15	14	1	14.6	14.8	-0.16	15.7	15.2	0.55
Etan Thomas	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.34	15	14	1	14.4	14.9	-0.49	16.3	15.0	1.29
Juan Dixon	20	22	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	26	-23	15.1	14.6	0.58	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Laron Profit	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	28	-27	12.4	15.0	-2.64	16.0	15.4	0.60
Michael Ruffin	23	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	33	-37	15.4	14.5	0.92	15.1	15.6	-0.49

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	47	45	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.28	-4	-25	21	14.6	16.3	-1.73	14.2	15.1	-0.86
Donta Smith	40	38	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-32	35	15.6	15.4	0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Tony Delk	37	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-36	43	14.5	16.1	-1.63	15.6	14.2	1.39
Royal Ivey	40	39	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-20	11	14.9	15.9	-1.00	15.6	14.1	1.52
Boris Diaw	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	16.7	15.3	1.33	13.6	14.8	-1.22
Jason Collier	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-25	21	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.2	14.6	0.59
Predrag Drobnjak	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-31	33	14.5	15.9	-1.39	14.0	15.0	-1.05
Obinna Ekezie	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-18	7	15.5	15.4	0.11	16.4	13.6	2.71
Josh Smith	44	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.41	-31	2	-33	15.6	15.3	0.33	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Tyronn Lue	56	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	-9	-11	15.9	14.9	1.00	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Al Harrington	50	50	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.37	-31	2	-33	16.5	14.4	2.09	14.9	14.4	0.52
Josh Childress	72	73	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	0.55	-46	17	-63	15.9	14.2	1.67	14.1	16.6	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAC 97, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	94.2%
BOS 100, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%