NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	4.9 [847]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +10.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	1.0 [655]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -8.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	21	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	49%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	0.05	35	44%	-0.06	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	35.3	17.5	25.6	2.5	42.2	148.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.2%

LAC +9.7%

LAC +9.5%

LAL -8.6%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.8	15.6	102.1	95.8	104.4
season	15.2	15.6		103.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	13.8	16.1	13.6	14.6
LAL	17.6	13.9	18.2	14.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-8	22	14.4	15.8	-1.39	16.5	9.4	7.11
Corey Maggette	86	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-3	12	13.7	23.2	-9.57	16.1	12.6	3.53
Cuttino Mobley	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-4	14	14.5	14.8	-0.29	16.1	13.5	2.57
Chris Kaman	71	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	14.7	14.0	0.69	16.6	13.7	2.92
Sam Cassell	76	78	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	6	-6	15.1	12.5	2.61	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	27	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.17	1	5	-4	12.9	15.2	-2.28	13.8	16.6	-2.88
James Singleton	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	14.7	14.5	0.19	13.3	16.0	-2.75
Chris Wilcox	24	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	12	-18	16.3	14.0	2.32	14.4	16.2	-1.79
Walter McCarty	5	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	11	-16	22.4	14.1	8.28	10.9	16.1	-5.29
Zeljko Rebraca	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	15.0	14.5	0.47	10.7	16.1	-5.43

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	6	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	15.8	15.8	0.08	22.3	14.0	8.30
Aaron McKie	9	10	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-10	14	16.4	15.7	0.76	21.1	13.8	7.31
Devin Green	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	8.0	15.9	-7.92	3.5	14.8	-11.30
Brian Cook	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-16	26	14.9	16.4	-1.48	16.3	13.2	3.05
Andrew Bynum	14	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	16.6	15.6	1.04	15.1	14.5	0.60
Laron Profit	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-4	2	14.4	16.1	-1.77	14.6	14.5	0.08
Sasha Vujacic	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.9	-0.32	15.4	14.2	1.24
Kwame Brown	50	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	9	-24	17.2	14.2	3.00	14.3	14.8	-0.44
Kobe Bryant	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	15.8	15.6	0.22	14.8	12.1	2.75
Smush Parker	59	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	15.6	16.0	-0.43	12.8	17.4	-4.65
Chris Mihm	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	0	-6	15.8	15.6	0.18	13.8	17.0	-3.28
Lamar Odom	89	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	2	-10	15.8	15.8	-0.08	14.0	22.3	-8.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAC 90, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAC 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.08,0	94.4%