NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	3.5 [1093]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +8.4%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.6 [1133]		LVP	Pablo Prigioni (NYK): -9.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Travis Wear	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	18	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	47%	0.06	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	0.08	7	57%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	-0.08	11	45%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	4	62%	0.09	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	67%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	48%	0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.03	0.09	13	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	30.6	15.6	31.1	2.7	27.3	132.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +15.6%

SAS +7.4%

NYK -6.0%

SAS +23.8%

SAS +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.1	15.1	108.0	123.9	104.2
season	16.1	15.4		98.5	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	14.9	19.8	15.4	16.6
SAS	16.9	15.1	13.9	18.9	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-19	24	15.9	16.9	-1.06	17.6	15.4	2.14
Travis Wear	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-19	24	15.2	17.5	-2.35	17.2	15.4	1.83
Quincy Acy	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-18	22	16.8	16.4	0.43	16.7	15.5	1.27
Amar'e Stoudemire	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-9	4	17.6	16.1	1.45	16.7	15.8	0.92
Iman Shumpert	54	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-15	16	15.9	17.7	-1.73	16.4	15.6	0.76
Pablo Prigioni	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-7	0	17.1	16.3	0.78	16.3	16.0	0.24
Shane Larkin	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	16.4	16.8	-0.42	16.2	16.0	0.17
Jason Smith	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	5	-24	17.6	15.9	1.74	14.4	17.2	-2.80
Jose Calderon	46	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.11	-13	-1	-12	17.4	15.8	1.63	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Samuel Dalembert	30	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	3	-20	16.3	16.8	-0.48	14.0	17.1	-3.15
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	0	-14	16.6	16.7	-0.12	15.9	16.4	-0.50

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	3	8	16.7	15.6	1.13	17.7	15.8	1.88
Marco Belinelli	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	-4	22	15.4	17.3	-1.93	15.8	18.3	-2.58
Cory Joseph	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	5	4	16.2	16.0	0.21	17.0	15.5	1.47
Kyle Anderson	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	7	0	17.2	15.2	1.98	17.4	15.9	1.55
Danny Green	60	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	9	-4	16.0	16.4	-0.36	16.9	16.0	0.83
Austin Daye	40	38	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	11	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.62	16.3	16.9	-0.57
Aron Baynes	38	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	11	-8	17.0	15.4	1.61	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Tiago Splitter	18	15	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	8	-2	13.4	16.8	-3.36	16.7	16.6	0.14
Jeff Ayres	34	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	9	-4	16.9	15.6	1.25	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Boris Diaw	49	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	11	-8	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.8	17.7	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, CHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAS 81, CHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 101, SAC 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%