inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 81 Excitement3.3 [1121] MVPJimmy Butler (CHI): +9.1%
Chicago Bulls 104 Comeback1.4 [356] LVPBoris Diaw (SAS): -9.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011157%0.072-0.03683%0.01
Danny Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.00667%0.0410.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.01-0.01950%0.0300.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03757%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05758%0.0000.00560%-0.00
Patty Mills0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.031146%0.002-0.004100%0.02
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00540%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01737%-0.022-0.062100%0.01
Boris Diaw-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.15-0.01-0.06911%-0.072-0.0200%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.030.04968%0.091-0.007100%0.01
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.00686%0.101-0.022100%0.01
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.041665%0.092-0.042100%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.051344%0.031-0.00862%0.02
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.031144%0.052-0.03580%0.01
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03771%0.083-0.06771%-0.02
Nazr Mohammed00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cameron Bairstow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.04650%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.02520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.830.217.426.53.331.3137.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +33.7%
CHI +5.9%
CHI +6.0%
CHI +4.9%
SAS -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCHINBASASCHINBA
this game15.616.015.191.0111.8104.2
season15.415.5106.9105.4
opponent15.214.9102.5101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.717.615.413.915.6
CHI17.014.515.217.416.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Ayres1717-0.00-0.500.490.11-4-191513.616.1-2.4416.915.81.13
Cory Joseph2727-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-242513.016.7-3.7017.815.32.53
JaMychal Green2829-0.01-0.490.48-0.072-252713.516.6-3.1418.015.12.87
Matt Bonner2525-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-232314.016.2-2.2517.615.52.10
Patty Mills4242-0.04-0.460.41-0.133-262914.416.7-2.3916.415.70.74
Aron Baynes1819-0.05-0.450.390.01-2-211914.315.9-1.6116.415.90.44
Tiago Splitter3740-0.06-0.440.37-0.122-252716.315.11.2116.016.1-0.08
Manu Ginobili3436-0.17-0.330.160.18-12-11-116.515.11.3815.116.6-1.49
Danny Green4546-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-12-11-116.015.20.8216.115.90.22
Tim Duncan4245-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-17-6-1117.514.03.5214.817.1-2.28
Tony Parker3943-0.45-0.05-0.410.25-241-2516.914.62.3715.116.8-1.68
Boris Diaw4344-0.48-0.02-0.460.25-252-2715.415.8-0.3916.016.00.00
Kawhi Leonard4852-0.510.01-0.520.28-274-3117.413.53.8614.817.5-2.71

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Rose52490.490.010.47-0.2826-32914.418.0-3.5817.113.83.26
Jimmy Butler53510.470.030.44-0.152121916.615.21.3516.114.91.22
Pau Gasol61580.420.070.35-0.222212115.217.6-2.4416.813.53.27
Taj Gibson72680.350.150.19-0.151761115.318.6-3.2915.715.30.37
Tony Snell68640.330.170.16-0.08149515.417.8-2.3815.815.20.53
Aaron Brooks48470.280.220.050.04815-717.214.72.5014.516.9-2.35
Nikola Mirotic30300.180.32-0.14-0.141112-117.315.41.8414.416.2-1.79
Nazr Mohammed18170.050.45-0.410.22-629-3519.615.24.3813.716.1-2.36
E'Twaun Moore550.010.49-0.480.01023-2314.016.1-2.1415.615.6-0.02
Cameron Bairstow440.000.50-0.500.00023-2317.516.01.5415.215.6-0.39
Doug McDermott440.000.50-0.500.00023-2317.516.01.5415.215.6-0.39
Kirk Hinrich5048-0.070.57-0.64-0.13221-1916.815.11.6814.417.0-2.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 90, CHI 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.7,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
MIA 78, SAS 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CLE 80, SAC 1240.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%