NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	103		Excitement	5.5 [716]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +18.5%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.2 [1000]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): -11.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.12	-0.03	12	69%	0.30	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	11	73%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	63%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.05	16	49%	0.12	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	17	45%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.08	-0.02	11	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	22	62%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.03
Chris Copeland	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	10	55%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	27.4	16.4	25.5	2.4	32.2	130.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +57.9%

IND -0.1%

IND -8.6%

LAC +0.3%

LAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.1	105.1	99.0	104.2
season	14.6	16.0		110.5	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.3		102.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.4	15.4	13.2	14.8	14.2
IND	16.0	13.4	17.5	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	76	75	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.09	22	-15	37	13.7	15.9	-2.17	16.4	11.7	4.70
Chris Paul	75	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.06	22	-15	37	13.7	15.8	-2.04	16.5	11.6	4.96
JJ Redick	63	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.03	21	-14	35	13.7	15.2	-1.52	16.5	13.0	3.47
DeAndre Jordan	69	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.09	19	-12	31	14.0	14.9	-0.91	16.5	12.7	3.74
Matt Barnes	59	55	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-7	21	14.0	14.5	-0.48	16.8	13.4	3.46
Hedo Turkoglu	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.2	14.0	2.21	10.9	15.9	-5.02
Jamal Crawford	55	56	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.50	-20	27	-47	14.8	13.5	1.27	13.4	17.9	-4.43
Glen Davis	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.21	-11	18	-29	16.1	13.8	2.27	11.9	16.2	-4.26
Jordan Farmar	30	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.21	-13	20	-33	15.1	13.8	1.31	12.4	16.7	-4.26
Spencer Hawes	32	33	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.21	-16	23	-39	14.9	13.9	0.97	12.5	16.8	-4.25

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damjan Rudez	35	35	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.32	18	-25	43	12.6	16.8	-4.21	15.2	13.7	1.52
CJ Miles	71	70	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.52	23	-30	53	13.9	19.3	-5.45	15.1	12.1	2.91
CJ Watson	58	57	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.42	18	-25	43	13.4	18.2	-4.74	15.5	12.5	2.94
Luis Scola	48	47	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.52	21	-28	49	13.2	17.4	-4.18	14.7	13.7	1.00
Lavoy Allen	75	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.43	13	-20	33	14.4	18.5	-4.11	14.5	13.3	1.21
Roy Hibbert	22	25	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	13	-33	18.5	14.4	4.11	13.3	14.5	-1.21
Solomon Hill	31	33	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.15	-25	18	-43	18.9	13.6	5.27	12.6	15.0	-2.44
David West	49	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.23	-28	21	-49	17.4	13.2	4.18	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Chris Copeland	34	37	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.20	-30	23	-53	18.4	13.7	4.67	12.3	15.4	-3.14
Rodney Stuckey	62	63	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	0.03	-25	18	-43	16.8	12.6	4.21	13.7	15.2	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.21,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.24,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.09,0	93.6%
PHI 94, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%
GSW 90, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.16,0.09,0	92.8%