inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 101 Excitement5.0 [809] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +9.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder 114 Comeback1.7 [1053] LVPKendrick Perkins (OKC): -11.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00665%0.122-0.065100%0.03
O.J. Mayo0.030,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.001356%0.062-0.036100%0.04
Zaza Pachulia0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.01564%0.062-0.061100%0.00
Kendall Marshall-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Larry Sanders-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01737%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Jabari Parker-0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.011354%0.032-0.05250%-0.00
Jared Dudley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.02944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.061152%-0.031-0.001173%0.01
Khris Middleton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00739%-0.031-0.03475%-0.00
Brandon Knight-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.031037%0.003-0.07475%-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.010.035100%0.152-0.055100%0.02
Kevin Durant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.010.041177%0.144-0.088100%0.03
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.02-0.021660%0.125-0.081580%0.02
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.010.071464%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.01737%0.0100.002100%0.01
Lance Thomas00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.0020%0.00
Perry Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04642%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.02333%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.02925%-0.073-0.04250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.21.828.315.628.22.329.3133.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +30.7%
MIL -4.6%
OKC +26.1%
MIL -1.9%
MIL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILOKCNBAMILOKCNBA
this game14.713.415.199.0110.7104.2
season14.514.5100.5105.7
opponent15.015.7103.5101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.215.813.615.314.7
OKC13.013.513.114.113.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Dudley4849-0.05-0.450.40-0.257-202715.214.20.9914.512.42.12
Jerryd Bayless4142-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-141514.814.60.1614.912.42.43
Khris Middleton4544-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-11915.214.30.9214.412.71.73
Larry Sanders2828-0.23-0.270.040.12-12-1-1114.614.7-0.1113.713.30.41
Brandon Knight6970-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-6-114.315.5-1.2312.615.2-2.60
Zaza Pachulia6363-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-10714.714.60.1113.313.6-0.30
Kendall Marshall3130-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.05-9-4-516.014.11.8914.712.91.76
Giannis Antetokounmpo5860-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-11-2-914.015.5-1.5112.614.6-2.00
O.J. Mayo6364-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-2-914.415.1-0.7212.814.4-1.64
Jabari Parker6465-0.47-0.03-0.450.05-185-2314.515.0-0.4612.714.7-2.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Serge Ibaka52550.54-0.040.57-0.2025-123712.214.6-2.3615.114.20.92
Russell Westbrook69720.500.000.49-0.2124-113512.615.1-2.5414.614.8-0.21
Perry Jones47450.320.180.130.23310-713.213.6-0.4514.215.0-0.79
Andre Roberson51510.310.190.130.1467-112.314.5-2.2614.415.0-0.63
Reggie Jackson64630.290.210.080.1458-313.712.90.8014.714.60.11
Kevin Durant61610.280.220.05-0.1916-31913.812.81.0314.914.40.45
Anthony Morrow49460.230.27-0.05-0.0185313.513.40.1415.014.40.61
Steven Adams27280.160.34-0.18-0.0476113.513.40.1414.314.8-0.55
Lance Thomas870.000.50-0.500.18-619-2514.213.30.9013.014.8-1.81
Ish Smith870.000.50-0.500.18-619-2514.213.30.9013.014.8-1.81
Kendrick Perkins4744-0.020.52-0.550.18-720-2714.312.71.5814.714.7-0.01
Jeremy Lamb3231-0.100.60-0.690.20-1023-3316.012.23.7915.414.41.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 113, HOU 1250.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
NJN 88, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.76,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,194.4%
ATL 87, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,194.3%