NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	8.5 [183]		MVP	Enes Kanter (UTA): +33.0%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	3.9 [351]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -25.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.22	0.04	0.16	-0.02	20	53%	0.26	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.2	-0.01	0.21	-0.01	3	33%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	8	62%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.05,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	64%	0.17	4	-0.12	8	62%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.09,-0.05	0.07	-0.15	-0.03	16	61%	0.02	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Tony Snell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.05	0.02	3	83%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.23	-0.00	13	70%	0.37	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.07	-0.00	14	62%	0.18	2	-0.18	1	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,-0.11	-0.11	0.07	-0.14	0.03	17	58%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.01	11	38%	-0.17	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	11	26%	-0.21	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.0	25.0	15.0	23.4	1.7	30.5	122.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +42.9%

CHI +31.0%

UTA -12.9%

CHI +3.7%

UTA -14.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	15.1	107.8	103.3	104.2
season	15.5	16.2		105.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.7	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	16.1	17.3	15.8	15.8
UTA	16.8	15.2	14.6	16.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	56	59	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.57	19	-17	36	15.1	16.8	-1.70	16.6	14.7	1.89
Derrick Rose	48	50	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-3	8	15.0	16.6	-1.64	15.1	16.8	-1.62
Jimmy Butler	82	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-2	6	15.6	17.2	-1.63	16.0	14.3	1.73
Pau Gasol	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	4	-6	15.6	16.3	-0.70	15.3	17.8	-2.45
Mike Dunleavy	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	-7	16	15.2	16.5	-1.31	16.5	15.0	1.46
Tony Snell	30	31	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.33	-8	10	-18	16.9	15.2	1.70	14.4	16.6	-2.20
Doug McDermott	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	3	-4	16.2	15.7	0.52	16.0	15.9	0.14
Aaron Brooks	42	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	16.6	15.0	1.64	16.8	15.1	1.62
Nikola Mirotic	53	53	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	-0.11	-13	15	-28	16.6	14.5	2.13	15.8	15.9	-0.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	31	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-1	0	16.3	15.7	0.62	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Rudy Gobert	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.6	15.8	-0.21
Joe Ingles	50	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-5	8	15.9	15.9	0.04	16.7	14.7	2.02
Dante Exum	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	4	-10	17.0	15.5	1.45	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Gordon Hayward	69	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-7	12	15.8	16.2	-0.45	15.4	17.0	-1.55
Trey Burke	71	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	15.5	17.0	-1.45	15.9	15.4	0.47
Derrick Favors	67	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.8	15.6	0.21
Enes Kanter	61	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	15.7	16.3	-0.62	15.9	15.6	0.30
Alec Burks	65	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	10	-22	16.0	15.6	0.35	15.4	16.5	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.26,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.35,0.33,0.69,0.71,0.45,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 119, OKC 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.91,0	90.0%
GSW 93, SAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.22,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.79,0.65,0.42,0	89.6%
LAL 99, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0	89.0%