NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	6.3 [547]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NOP): +28.1%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	4.0 [214]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -8.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.14	-0.00	17	65%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.09	-0.00	19	61%	0.23	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	13	65%	0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	11	60%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	18	56%	0.11	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	48%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	-0.03	17	38%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.7	15.7	24.4	2.6	41.3	139.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +56.7%

SAC -4.1%

SAC -29.3%

NOP +28.2%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	SAC	NBA	NOP	SAC	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.1	115.2	108.7	104.2
season	15.8	14.9		106.3	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.2		107.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.5	15.8	13.8	15.7	14.9
SAC	16.2	17.6	18.1	13.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Anderson	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-9	24	13.9	17.2	-3.31	16.5	16.2	0.30
Anthony Davis	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	2	2	14.7	16.7	-2.04	15.8	20.2	-4.46
Jrue Holiday	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-2	10	14.6	16.0	-1.44	15.8	18.0	-2.24
Tyreke Evans	61	61	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	6	-6	15.7	13.5	2.24	15.4	18.4	-2.99
Austin Rivers	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	-2	10	15.3	14.7	0.66	17.6	15.6	2.03
Eric Gordon	72	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	9	-12	15.2	14.1	1.00	15.5	19.5	-3.98
Alexis Ajinca	34	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	16.9	13.8	3.04	17.5	15.7	1.81
Luke Babbitt	38	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	7	-8	14.3	15.4	-1.10	18.1	15.2	2.82
John Salmons	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.54	22.7	15.7	6.98

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	57	57	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-15	24	14.6	19.2	-4.57	15.6	13.9	1.65
Darren Collison	61	62	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-13	20	15.4	18.2	-2.80	14.6	15.7	-1.14
Ryan Hollins	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	2.0	16.5	-14.53	4.0	15.1	-11.05
Jason Thompson	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.8	14.9	2.85	15.3	14.6	0.74
Carl Landry	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	0	-6	18.2	15.5	2.72	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Omri Casspi	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-6	6	15.6	17.4	-1.81	15.3	14.4	0.91
Rudy Gay	72	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.6	19.0	-3.36	15.4	13.5	1.89
DeMarcus Cousins	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-3	0	16.0	17.4	-1.47	14.7	15.7	-1.05
Ray McCallum	38	38	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	10	-26	18.3	15.0	3.23	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Nik Stauskas	35	35	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	9	-24	19.2	14.6	4.57	13.9	15.6	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.25,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 80, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	92.8%
MIA 101, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
DET 112, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.7%