NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	4.4 [933]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +15.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	109		Comeback	1.7 [1005]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (LAL): -6.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	9	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Xavier Henry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.06	28	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.05	-0.09	17	50%	0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	16	69%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	12	71%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.8	15.7	24.5	2.3	34.3	127.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +46.1%

LAL -5.7%

NOP +9.1%

LAL -0.0%

NOP +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	15.6	15.0	15.1	108.5	116.0	104.2
season	15.5	15.8		101.9	106.3
opponent	15.2	14.7		106.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	17.1	16.8	12.8	15.6
NOP	13.0	15.6	13.7	17.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	20	20	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.37	14	-21	35	13.6	16.1	-2.50	17.2	14.4	2.83
Robert Sacre	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-17	27	9.0	16.1	-7.15	15.9	14.9	0.93
Jordan Clarkson	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-12	17	14.2	16.2	-2.02	18.4	13.7	4.75
Ronnie Price	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-5	3	15.6	15.6	-0.04	16.0	14.5	1.53
Ed Davis	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.34	7	-14	21	14.9	16.6	-1.72	15.5	14.4	1.12
Carlos Boozer	64	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	8	-23	16.2	14.3	1.93	16.1	12.7	3.40
Jordan Hill	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	9	-25	16.3	14.1	2.28	13.4	18.5	-5.06
Jeremy Lin	67	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	2	-11	15.5	16.0	-0.54	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Kobe Bryant	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	8	-23	16.4	13.3	3.00	14.1	17.8	-3.72
Wesley Johnson	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	7	-21	16.2	14.3	1.85	13.6	18.3	-4.71

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	70	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-4	15	14.4	16.8	-2.38	15.8	15.0	0.76
Anthony Davis	72	73	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.08	15	-8	23	14.0	18.2	-4.19	16.2	13.8	2.39
Tyreke Evans	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-9	25	15.6	13.4	2.15	16.6	13.0	3.51
Omer Asik	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	14.8	15.3	-0.52	16.2	14.9	1.27
Jrue Holiday	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	10	-13	14.5	16.5	-1.99	16.1	14.2	1.92
Austin Rivers	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	10	-13	16.7	13.8	2.92	13.6	17.1	-3.51
Ryan Anderson	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	2	3	15.7	14.6	1.17	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	34	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	7	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.19	14.6	16.2	-1.52
Jeff Withey	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	12.2	15.2	-2.98	6.7	16.0	-9.26
Alexis Ajinca	22	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	16	-25	18.2	14.0	4.19	14.1	16.1	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	95.5%
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 89, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%