NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	6.6 [476]		MVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): +28.0%
Brooklyn Nets	104		Comeback	2.0 [855]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -22.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.07	0.02	19	69%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.03	-0.05	8	81%	0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.06	9	73%	0.05	3	-0.12	8	62%	-0.03
Tobias Harris	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	13	37%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.13	0.02	12	85%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	12	64%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	5	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	14	42%	-0.07	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.2	14.8	23.0	1.8	31.3	123.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +5.4%

BKN +17.2%

BKN +25.9%

ORL -1.1%

BKN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.1	102.1	109.5	104.2
season	14.9	15.3		100.4	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.0	13.0	15.8	15.0	15.1
BKN	15.1	14.7	13.5	18.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	29	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-9	10	15.9	14.8	1.14	12.8	16.6	-3.75
Ben Gordon	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-8	8	12.5	15.7	-3.22	14.2	15.6	-1.48
Channing Frye	63	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.3	14.7	0.54	16.5	12.9	3.61
Luke Ridnour	37	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-5	2	14.9	15.2	-0.35	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Aaron Gordon	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-8	8	14.2	15.6	-1.47	16.3	14.9	1.48
Willie Green	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-8	8	14.1	15.8	-1.68	15.7	15.1	0.57
Evan Fournier	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	15.5	14.1	1.40	15.2	15.7	-0.44
Elfrid Payton	57	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	15.2	14.9	0.35	15.5	15.2	0.25
Nikola Vucevic	63	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	4	-16	15.5	14.3	1.22	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Tobias Harris	68	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	8	-24	15.5	14.1	1.42	15.4	15.4	-0.05

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	54	54	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-7	22	16.7	13.6	3.05	15.6	14.5	1.10
Joe Johnson	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-6	20	16.1	14.1	2.04	15.5	14.4	1.11
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-5	18	16.4	13.6	2.78	15.9	13.7	2.20
Deron Williams	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	2	4	15.8	13.3	2.53	15.1	15.3	-0.27
Alan Anderson	47	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	15.3	15.4	-0.06	13.9	16.2	-2.25
Brook Lopez	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	1	6	14.2	16.7	-2.51	15.8	14.3	1.48
Jarrett Jack	50	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	13	-18	13.7	17.2	-3.48	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Mason Plumlee	33	32	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	15	-22	15.4	15.4	0.04	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Mirza Teletovic	41	40	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	15	-22	13.6	16.7	-3.05	14.5	15.6	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.98,1,1	93.4%
POR 89, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.85,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.6%
NOK 94, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.85,0.95,1,1	92.5%