NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	102		Excitement	5.6 [697]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +34.7%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.4 [541]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -11.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.22	0.15	0.02	23	69%	0.35	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Sergey Karasev	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	19	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	9	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	45%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	5	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	14	51%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	15	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	42%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.6	27.2	16.5	25.8	2.0	29.3	127.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +45.2%

DET -11.1%

BKN +16.1%

DET -0.4%

BKN +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DET	NBA	BKN	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	15.8	15.1	115.9	102.3	104.2
season	15.3	15.7		102.9	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.9	15.2	18.3	18.4	16.9
DET	14.8	16.1	16.8	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	72	70	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.19	17	-5	22	16.9	17.0	-0.12	16.0	15.0	1.04
Deron Williams	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	1	10	16.4	20.0	-3.59	16.1	14.5	1.51
Kevin Garnett	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.12	15	-3	18	16.9	16.8	0.09	16.1	15.2	0.91
Mirza Teletovic	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.17	12	0	12	17.2	16.4	0.86	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Jarrett Jack	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-1	14	18.4	15.7	2.76	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Jerome Jordan	20	20	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	1	10	18.2	16.5	1.75	16.9	15.5	1.39
Alan Anderson	18	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	7	-2	13.4	17.8	-4.41	16.3	15.7	0.67
Sergey Karasev	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	0.0	16.9	-16.90	0.0	16.0	-16.01
Andrei Kirilenko	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	15	-18	15.3	17.2	-1.89	16.3	15.7	0.54
Bojan Bogdanovic	44	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	19	-26	18.4	15.4	2.98	15.7	16.0	-0.24
Mason Plumlee	40	40	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	0.02	-14	26	-40	15.7	17.9	-2.15	15.6	16.0	-0.47

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	61	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-12	12	16.0	15.4	0.66	16.1	18.8	-2.77
Greg Monroe	55	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-3	-6	15.9	15.8	0.12	17.3	16.3	0.94
Brandon Jennings	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-8	4	15.7	16.3	-0.59	16.5	18.1	-1.62
Caron Butler	28	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-4	-4	16.0	15.7	0.25	18.4	16.2	2.12
D.J. Augustin	34	32	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	2	-16	15.8	15.9	-0.06	17.9	16.3	1.63
Andre Drummond	41	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.50	16.3	17.4	-1.13
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-2	-8	15.7	16.3	-0.56	16.9	16.7	0.24
Josh Smith	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-5	-2	15.9	14.7	1.19	17.0	16.2	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.5%
CLE 97, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
WAS 105, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.14,0.16,0	93.0%