NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	6.1 [606]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +23.3%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	2.4 [257]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): -4.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.08	-0.04	17	62%	0.27	2	-0.03	14	93%	0.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.06	0.03	14	71%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.10	-0.02	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.04	0.02	-0.04	10	62%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Cole Aldrich	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	12	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	13	71%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	18	53%	0.12	4	-0.10	13	92%	0.04
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	14	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	31.4	15.6	25.3	2.5	48.4	150.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.7%

NYK +8.2%

TOR -1.1%

NYK +24.4%

NYK +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.1	117.4	109.9	105.2
season	16.0	15.9		106.4	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.7	17.8	14.8	14.7	15.9
TOR	14.7	18.2	15.2	14.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-6	20	15.9	15.8	0.12	15.5	15.9	-0.34
Iman Shumpert	53	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	6	-4	16.5	15.1	1.34	15.7	15.4	0.22
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	15.8	16.4	-0.63	15.2	17.2	-1.97
J.R. Smith	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	16.1	15.4	0.62	15.6	15.5	0.03
Pablo Prigioni	35	33	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	1	6	15.8	16.0	-0.16	15.5	15.6	-0.18
Tyson Chandler	57	57	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	-1	10	15.4	16.8	-1.45	16.2	14.4	1.80
Raymond Felton	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	3	2	15.0	17.6	-2.63	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Cole Aldrich	11	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	14	-20	19.1	15.5	3.62	15.6	15.6	0.07
Tim Hardaway Jr.	22	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	16	-24	16.8	15.6	1.20	16.0	15.4	0.51

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	33	31	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-15	22	15.4	15.7	-0.33	17.0	15.4	1.61
Tyler Hansbrough	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-9	10	16.6	15.4	1.18	17.4	15.7	1.73
Steve Novak	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-15	22	12.0	15.9	-3.87	12.9	16.2	-3.32
Jonas Valanciunas	70	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-11	14	15.3	16.4	-1.11	16.0	15.7	0.31
John Salmons	46	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-11	14	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.1	16.7	-1.59
Greivis Vasquez	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	15.9	15.3	0.60	17.1	15.2	1.86
Charles Hayes	11	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	19.2	15.1	4.11	17.5	15.7	1.84
Patrick Patterson	31	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	8	-24	15.6	15.6	0.01	14.1	16.9	-2.87
Terrence Ross	52	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	7	-22	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.4	15.3	1.08
Kyle Lowry	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.2	17.2	-1.97	15.8	16.4	-0.63
DeMar DeRozan	82	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.22	-15	7	-22	15.7	14.3	1.37	15.8	17.1	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 87, CHH 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0	94.2%
SAS 86, HOU 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
IND 96, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.16,0.06,0.01,0	93.5%