NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	145		Excitement	3.8 [1057]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +23.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	130		Comeback	1.1 [1177]		LVP	Kendall Marshall (LAL): -5.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.24	0.04	0.04	18	75%	0.23	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
James Harden	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.26	0.03	0.10	15	80%	0.19	1	-0.00	11	91%	0.03
Isaiah Canaan	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	8	94%	0.13	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	13	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.05	11	48%	-0.05	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	0.01	0.09	21	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.26	0.00	0.21	19	73%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	11	55%	0.02	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.03	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.5	31.4	18.5	29.3	3.4	29.5	142.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +47.1%

LAL -3.7%

HOU +6.2%

LAL -3.0%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	12.2	15.1	128.3	115.0	105.2
season	14.3	14.0		109.5	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.2		108.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.3	13.5	12.1	14.3	13.3
LAL	14.4	12.2	11.9	10.5	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	59	58	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.17	24	-9	33	12.8	13.8	-0.97	13.0	11.3	1.69
Chandler Parsons	73	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-9	33	13.4	13.1	0.30	13.2	10.4	2.83
James Harden	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.27	26	-11	37	12.8	14.3	-1.55	12.7	11.3	1.40
Terrence Jones	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-6	27	12.8	14.3	-1.47	13.2	10.3	2.92
Jeremy Lin	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	5	5	13.2	13.4	-0.24	13.0	11.2	1.75
Isaiah Canaan	63	64	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	15	-15	13.6	12.9	0.70	11.5	13.2	-1.71
Francisco Garcia	55	55	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	20	-25	13.5	13.1	0.39	10.9	13.4	-2.47
Omri Casspi	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	24	-33	13.6	13.2	0.40	10.1	13.1	-3.01
Jordan Hamilton	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	14.2	13.1	1.11	9.2	12.7	-3.48
Donatas Motiejunas	55	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.26	-11	26	-37	14.1	12.5	1.66	11.4	12.9	-1.48

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	64	63	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-21	27	11.9	12.6	-0.70	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Steve Nash	28	28	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-17	19	13.2	11.9	1.31	13.7	13.2	0.56
MarShon Brooks	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-21	27	9.0	12.7	-3.72	14.7	13.1	1.70
Robert Sacre	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-18	21	12.4	12.1	0.34	13.2	13.3	-0.13
Nick Young	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-12	9	10.8	13.6	-2.81	12.7	13.9	-1.14
Jodie Meeks	93	91	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	12.3	11.8	0.42	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Jordan Hill	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	0	-15	13.5	11.1	2.37	12.7	13.8	-1.13
Kendall Marshall	44	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	0	-15	12.3	12.1	0.24	13.3	13.3	0.03
Ryan Kelly	75	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.20	-25	10	-35	12.1	12.4	-0.26	13.9	12.2	1.61
Wesley Johnson	89	90	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.10	-26	11	-37	12.6	10.5	2.10	13.4	13.0	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, BOS 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 128, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
BOS 104, CLE 86	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%