NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	1.4 [1318]		MVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): +6.4%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.0 [340]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.04	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Pero Antic	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.08	8	100%	0.05	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	79%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	17	64%	0.03	3	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	72%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	5	40%	0.01	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	17	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	31.5	15.6	30.1	2.4	27.5	134.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +46.1%

ATL +1.2%

IND -0.1%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.1	116.3	95.7	105.2
season	14.8	15.8		103.8	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	17.0	16.5	16.4	16.2
IND	16.3	15.7	12.9	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	72	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.20	21	-2	23	15.6	18.4	-2.85	15.3	14.6	0.70
Jeff Teague	64	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	12	-5	16.5	15.5	0.98	14.7	16.1	-1.43
DeMarre Carroll	48	49	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	7	5	16.7	15.6	1.11	15.2	15.0	0.25
Paul Millsap	63	60	0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	8	3	16.8	15.0	1.73	15.9	13.6	2.34
Pero Antic	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	9	1	15.8	16.8	-1.00	15.4	14.7	0.69
Shelvin Mack	49	49	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	8	3	16.5	15.9	0.58	15.4	14.7	0.64
Elton Brand	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	13	-7	16.4	16.0	0.36	13.4	16.6	-3.22
Mike Scott	23	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	8	3	15.3	16.5	-1.16	15.4	14.9	0.51
Cartier Martin	43	43	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	13	-7	15.9	16.5	-0.58	15.0	15.2	-0.25

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	13.6	15.3	-1.73	16.9	16.1	0.80
Lavoy Allen	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.21	-8	-11	3	15.1	15.1	-0.04	18.8	15.6	3.18
Donald Sloan	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-13	7	15.2	15.1	0.14	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Evan Turner	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-16	13	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Luis Scola	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-16	13	15.2	15.0	0.22	16.0	16.3	-0.37
Rasual Butler	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.16	-10	-9	-1	14.6	15.3	-0.72	16.5	16.1	0.33
Ian Mahinmi	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-10	1	14.9	15.2	-0.23	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Roy Hibbert	19	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.21	-19	0	-19	16.2	14.8	1.42	13.9	16.8	-2.93
David West	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-16	13	15.1	15.2	-0.14	16.4	15.6	0.73
Paul George	73	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-15	11	14.8	16.0	-1.15	16.2	16.3	-0.06
George Hill	71	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-6	-7	15.3	14.5	0.79	16.4	15.6	0.79
Lance Stephenson	59	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	2	-23	15.1	15.0	0.09	16.3	16.0	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	99.0%
DET 113, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
SAC 122, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%