NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	3.7 [1068]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +18.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	120		Comeback	1.1 [1305]		LVP	Darren Collison (LAC): -8.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	14	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.00	-0.05	15	49%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.02	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	40%	-0.01	5	-0.06	5	40%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.00	10	96%	0.23	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	14	56%	0.14	3	-0.07	13	69%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.06
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	17	41%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.0	38.0	17.7	32.6	3.7	27.0	150.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.8%

LAL -8.0%

LAC +11.6%

LAL -4.7%

LAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.3	15.1	93.3	115.4	105.2
season	14.0	14.3		102.9	111.0
opponent	15.4	14.8		104.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	14.3	13.7	14.0	14.4
LAC	13.1	11.9	13.0	15.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-24	25	8.5	14.8	-6.28	12.8	13.3	-0.47
Wesley Johnson	61	63	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-20	17	14.2	14.7	-0.52	13.9	12.3	1.55
Kent Bazemore	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-22	21	15.0	14.2	0.76	14.4	13.0	1.48
Robert Sacre	61	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-14	5	14.5	14.2	0.31	13.9	12.4	1.51
Nick Young	59	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	-11	-1	14.6	14.1	0.49	12.3	14.4	-2.11
Ryan Kelly	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	-2	-19	14.0	15.2	-1.19	13.5	12.8	0.72
Jordan Hill	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	-1	-21	15.1	13.3	1.81	12.2	15.0	-2.80
Jodie Meeks	85	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.30	-27	4	-31	14.3	14.8	-0.46	13.5	12.3	1.18
Kendall Marshall	92	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.11	-21	-2	-19	14.5	14.0	0.47	13.2	14.4	-1.24

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	69	67	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.09	23	0	23	12.6	14.6	-1.99	15.0	13.3	1.73
Blake Griffin	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	-1	25	12.2	15.4	-3.20	14.6	14.1	0.53
Chris Paul	62	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	4	15	12.5	14.4	-1.89	14.8	13.8	1.04
Matt Barnes	61	62	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.07	17	6	11	12.3	14.7	-2.34	14.4	14.5	-0.07
JJ Redick	50	52	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	4	15	13.3	13.3	0.00	14.2	14.7	-0.52
Darren Collison	74	73	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	16	-9	13.4	12.9	0.58	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Jared Dudley	44	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	19	-15	14.5	12.3	2.20	14.5	14.3	0.17
Hedo Turkoglu	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	21	-19	16.1	12.6	3.46	15.9	14.1	1.78
Reggie Bullock	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	22	-21	14.9	12.9	2.01	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Willie Green	12	13	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	24	-25	14.1	13.2	0.91	11.3	14.9	-3.55
Glen Davis	38	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	23	-23	14.9	12.4	2.50	13.7	14.8	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.8%
PHI 79, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%