NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	6.8 [465]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +39.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	4.4 [163]		LVP	Thomas Robinson (POR): -13.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.22	0.13	-0.04	20	71%	0.43	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.07	17	64%	0.10	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	19	45%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	15	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	9	69%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	18	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	4	20%	-0.07	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.6	29.7	15.7	25.9	1.8	30.4	131.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +6.5%

PHX +18.6%

PHX +23.0%

PHX +2.7%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.1	112.4	95.9	105.2
season	14.7	15.1		107.7	109.6
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	13.5	15.1	17.8	15.2
POR	13.6	14.7	14.3	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	61	62	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.01	27	-11	38	13.0	18.8	-5.74	14.8	14.1	0.64
Ish Smith	39	37	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	0	16	14.8	15.4	-0.58	16.1	13.6	2.51
Markieff Morris	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-2	20	14.2	16.7	-2.49	13.9	15.6	-1.73
Shavlik Randolph	25	25	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-2	20	14.2	15.5	-1.35	14.7	14.5	0.21
Goran Dragic	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	3	10	16.0	12.9	3.12	14.9	13.6	1.30
Marcus Morris	19	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	14	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.21	15.4	14.3	1.16
Channing Frye	38	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	18	-20	16.9	14.0	2.89	15.7	13.8	1.95
Eric Bledsoe	72	72	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	16	-16	16.1	12.6	3.51	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Miles Plumlee	52	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	20	-24	15.5	14.8	0.76	14.0	15.1	-1.15
PJ Tucker	48	49	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.03	-8	24	-32	15.6	14.8	0.79	12.9	16.1	-3.21

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Claver	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.0	14.6	-2.58	20.5	15.1	5.45
CJ McCollum	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.0	14.6	-2.58	20.5	15.1	5.45
Meyers Leonard	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	12.0	14.6	-2.58	20.5	15.1	5.45
Damian Lillard	75	76	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-16	16	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.4	14.2	1.18
Wesley Matthews	66	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-18	20	13.9	15.9	-2.07	16.8	11.5	5.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-10	4	14.8	13.7	1.03	15.4	14.4	1.05
Robin Lopez	71	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-16	16	13.8	16.4	-2.59	16.4	12.2	4.20
Will Barton	19	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-7	-2	13.9	14.7	-0.78	14.3	15.4	-1.02
Nicolas Batum	76	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-8	0	14.5	14.6	-0.06	15.7	13.5	2.21
Thomas Robinson	30	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-3	-10	15.3	14.2	1.07	12.8	16.3	-3.46
Dorell Wright	18	18	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-5	-6	15.3	14.4	0.92	13.0	15.7	-2.66
Mo Williams	51	52	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.09	-29	13	-42	15.6	13.3	2.28	11.8	19.0	-7.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	93.0%
ATL 105, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.72,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
DAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.4%