NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	94		Excitement	8.0 [252]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +33.4%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	2.1 [1029]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -15.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	12	59%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Josh Smith	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	20	51%	0.14	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.05
Brandon Jennings	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	48%	0.16	1	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Andre Drummond	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Will Bynum	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	21	35%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.33	0.33	0.09	0.24	-0.01	19	61%	0.39	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.00	10	71%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	5	71%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.06	0.03	9	52%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	55%	0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	2.4	27.8	15.8	24.2	2.4	35.6	140.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +71.7%

DET -4.7%

DET -8.4%

DET -11.0%

IND +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.3	16.0	15.1	105.6	113.5	105.2
season	15.0	15.8		104.7	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		99.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.2	16.8	17.0	17.6	16.3
IND	14.6	14.5	16.5	19.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	17	16	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-13	19	16.5	16.3	0.27	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Greg Monroe	59	59	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-13	19	16.0	16.9	-0.88	15.2	17.7	-2.50
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-2	-3	17.0	16.2	0.79	13.0	16.5	-3.52
Charlie Villanueva	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-1	-5	15.0	16.5	-1.48	20.8	15.4	5.36
Will Bynum	25	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.01	-9	2	-11	18.2	15.6	2.68	14.1	16.8	-2.69
Brandon Jennings	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-9	11	15.6	18.2	-2.68	16.8	14.1	2.69
Kyle Singler	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-10	13	16.5	15.5	1.04	16.2	15.2	1.07
Andre Drummond	59	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.6	15.8	0.78	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Josh Smith	69	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	4	-15	16.0	17.3	-1.34	16.2	15.4	0.79
Rodney Stuckey	58	59	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	9	-25	16.5	16.0	0.48	16.4	15.4	0.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-3	13	15.2	18.1	-2.89	16.8	15.0	1.77
George Hill	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-8	23	16.1	15.9	0.20	16.4	16.0	0.39
Paul George	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	16.3	15.0	1.33	16.1	17.2	-1.07
David West	62	62	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	6	-5	15.5	17.3	-1.74	16.0	17.1	-1.20
Ian Mahinmi	34	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-4	15	14.7	16.9	-2.12	17.6	15.5	2.12
Roy Hibbert	55	54	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	11	-15	16.9	14.7	2.12	15.5	17.6	-2.12
Luis Scola	27	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	1	5	17.3	15.5	1.74	17.1	16.0	1.20
Evan Turner	31	31	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	6	-5	17.2	15.4	1.81	16.1	16.4	-0.33
Rasual Butler	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	13	-19	15.7	16.1	-0.41	15.6	16.4	-0.82
Donald Sloan	17	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	15	-23	15.9	16.1	-0.20	16.0	16.4	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	92.3%
LAC 91, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.89,1,1,1	92.3%