NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	114		Excitement	4.4 [930]		MVP	Jared Dudley (LAC): +14.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.8 [713]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -15.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	10	73%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	17	67%	0.17	6	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.04	14	63%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.06	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	55%	0.00	5	-0.10	8	37%	-0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.01	0.08	4	100%	0.04	1	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.10	6	79%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	8	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.08	10	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	21	44%	-0.02	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	29.1	15.4	22.4	1.5	31.6	127.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.6%

LAC +2.9%

MIN -2.0%

LAC +5.5%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.8	15.1	110.7	103.0	105.2
season	14.3	14.6		111.0	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.4		104.7	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	14.8	11.3	14.8	13.5
MIN	15.2	16.5	15.8	11.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-4	18	13.4	14.0	-0.64	15.0	13.8	1.14
Jared Dudley	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.08	17	-7	24	13.3	14.0	-0.75	14.9	14.5	0.37
Chris Paul	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	13.0	15.3	-2.26	15.0	13.7	1.27
Darren Collison	92	92	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-5	20	13.2	15.5	-2.22	14.9	13.8	1.09
Matt Barnes	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-6	22	13.1	14.5	-1.40	15.1	13.9	1.27
Hedo Turkoglu	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	14	-18	14.0	13.3	0.74	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Reggie Bullock	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	16	-22	14.5	13.1	1.40	13.9	15.1	-1.27
Willie Green	31	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.26	-11	21	-32	15.4	12.7	2.69	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Ryan Hollins	14	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	12	-14	12.1	13.7	-1.63	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Glen Davis	7	6	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	15	-20	17.9	13.2	4.70	14.8	14.8	0.06

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	49	51	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.42	19	-29	48	13.3	16.2	-2.93	15.4	11.6	3.72
Dante Cunningham	39	41	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-15	20	14.3	15.1	-0.84	14.8	12.6	2.25
Robbie Hummel	45	47	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.44	16	-26	42	13.8	15.5	-1.67	15.5	11.8	3.70
Shabazz Muhammad	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-22	34	11.8	15.8	-4.04	14.8	13.0	1.80
Chase Budinger	55	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.39	12	-22	34	14.0	15.7	-1.78	14.9	11.7	3.14
Nikola Pekovic	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-5	0	14.4	14.8	-0.40	11.4	13.9	-2.47
Gorgui Dieng	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.1	13.7	-0.67
Kevin Martin	63	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	11	-32	16.0	12.7	3.39	12.8	14.6	-1.83
Corey Brewer	46	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	12	-34	15.7	14.0	1.78	11.7	14.9	-3.14
Ricky Rubio	61	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.26	-32	22	-54	16.1	12.7	3.39	11.8	15.8	-3.93
Kevin Love	64	63	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.20	-30	20	-50	15.9	12.8	3.05	12.1	15.7	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, MIL 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 109, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DET 107, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.23,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%