inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 98 Excitement5.2 [787] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +17.6%
Orlando Magic 93 Comeback1.1 [891] LVPAmir Johnson (TOR): -7.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0.180,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.170.040.03883%0.201-0.038100%0.03
DeMar DeRozan0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.110.160.000.061464%0.1100.001694%0.06
Steve Novak0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.00580%0.0900.0000%0.00
Landry Fields0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.01367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross0.030,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02570%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0-0.130.05-0.091842%0.176-0.172100%0.02
Tyler Hansbrough-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
John Salmons-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.001100%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Charles Hayes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02638%-0.012-0.061100%0.01
Amir Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.01540%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.050.011267%0.185-0.1400%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.14-0.050.071379%0.092-0.072100%0.01
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.00964%0.122-0.10475%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.03-0.011167%0.073-0.052100%0.01
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00133%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Doron Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01940%-0.002-0.06250%-0.01
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.030.05967%0.054-0.12333%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.92.430.515.725.42.439.6138.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -7.8%
TOR +19.7%
TOR +16.1%
TOR +18.3%
TOR +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game17.614.915.1110.1105.7105.2
season15.915.3107.2100.4
opponent15.015.1105.9104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR19.214.818.818.217.6
ORL14.414.518.213.114.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valanciunas63640.57-0.070.640.5414-318.814.83.9215.513.32.22
DeMar DeRozan72700.400.100.300.43-16-717.717.50.1814.815.3-0.53
Kyle Lowry64660.390.110.290.3905-517.817.00.8014.914.90.00
Amir Johnson66640.360.140.220.42-27-917.418.3-0.9815.214.11.14
Landry Fields35340.330.170.16-0.0212-71915.918.7-2.8114.315.3-0.95
Nando De Colo17150.240.26-0.02-0.0811-61714.518.4-3.8914.714.9-0.21
Tyler Hansbrough9100.190.31-0.11-0.079-41316.917.7-0.8112.115.3-3.17
Greivis Vasquez28260.190.31-0.130.24-27-919.117.02.1213.915.3-1.45
Terrence Ross38390.050.45-0.410.11-27-918.417.01.3616.413.72.74
Steve Novak22190.050.45-0.41-0.1050515.618.3-2.6314.615.0-0.42
John Salmons1415-0.020.52-0.550.01-16-718.617.41.1313.915.1-1.18
Charles Hayes1718-0.240.74-0.98-0.10-510-1518.117.50.5414.215.1-0.86

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon27260.15-0.650.80-0.119-142315.314.70.6118.117.40.65
E'Twaun Moore2727-0.10-0.400.300.14-83-1113.315.6-2.3816.018.3-2.27
Kyle O'Quinn2828-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-1-315.514.60.8117.117.9-0.80
Maurice Harkless6767-0.14-0.360.22-0.388-132115.014.50.5718.016.41.67
Doron Lamb1110-0.15-0.350.190.02-61-711.015.5-4.4716.117.8-1.71
Andrew Nicholson1313-0.19-0.310.110.04-83-1113.315.2-1.8819.317.31.98
Jameer Nelson4748-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.25-2-3116.413.13.3017.617.60.06
Nikola Vucevic5960-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.485-101515.414.01.4118.016.81.22
Arron Afflalo6265-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.391-6715.912.53.3617.817.20.62
Victor Oladipo5050-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.20-83-1113.816.4-2.5718.017.20.83
Tobias Harris4951-0.530.03-0.56-0.18-127-1914.215.8-1.5416.818.7-1.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 111, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,093.9%
HOU 91, MIA 800.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.7%
MEM 97, SAC 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0,093.5%