inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Excitement10.4 [63] MVPJose Calderon (DAL): +63.7%
Dallas Mavericks 128 Comeback15.7 [76] LVPNick Collison (OKC): -12.4%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.380,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.380.200.180.012769%0.515-0.138100%0.04
Derek Fisher0.380,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.380.080.30-0.00972%0.401-0.0200%0.00
Caron Butler0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.001050%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.05-0.01950%-0.011-0.0320%-0.07
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.06-0.031148%0.092-0.131100%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.070,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.11,-0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.06-0.04-0.031855%0.178-0.23683%0.04
Nick Collison-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.04-0.080.00744%-0.052-0.07250%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.640.640.230.39-0.0110100%0.6400.002100%0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.090.060.00683%0.1500.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.06-0.00456%0.0900.001100%0.01
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00683%0.132-0.0800%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.14,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.020.020.020.030.032359%0.346-0.328100%0.08
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.021157%0.104-0.11667%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.03-0.001150%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.040.00150%0.002-0.082100%0.01
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.000.001546%0.044-0.12771%-0.03
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.00337%-0.021-0.05250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game29.33.532.318.529.43.538.31.630.3186.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +26.2%
DAL +7.9%
DAL +30.3%
OKC -10.2%
OKC -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game13.215.415.1108.2114.3105.2
season14.415.3107.8109.0
opponent15.015.4107.0102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC13.113.513.513.611.713.2
DAL14.116.515.318.311.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher54540.17-0.670.85-0.2113-223513.912.61.3016.214.71.44
Steven Adams2525-0.05-0.450.410.04-3-6312.213.5-1.2813.915.9-2.01
Nick Collison4344-0.15-0.350.20-0.305-141914.412.41.9417.214.32.87
Andre Roberson3030-0.23-0.270.030.12-123-1512.713.4-0.6314.115.9-1.87
Serge Ibaka7172-0.25-0.250.010.05-101-1112.514.4-1.8114.916.3-1.38
Russell Westbrook7375-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-167-2312.115.3-3.1314.217.9-3.62
Reggie Jackson8487-0.540.04-0.58-0.28-90-913.412.50.9615.714.61.03
Caron Butler6566-0.540.04-0.59-0.540-9914.012.02.0516.913.43.51
Kevin Durant105107-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-134-1713.213.00.2015.220.8-5.61

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon81810.69-0.190.890.0821-123315.116.3-1.1312.714.7-2.04
Monta Ellis94920.65-0.150.800.2414-51914.918.3-3.4512.516.5-3.96
Brandan Wright39400.53-0.030.550.4436-317.914.13.7313.313.10.21
Dirk Nowitzki80800.440.060.38-0.0015-62116.014.02.0613.113.4-0.29
Vince Carter55520.410.090.330.47-211-1315.115.7-0.5713.712.71.06
Samuel Dalembert48470.200.30-0.11-0.0790914.316.3-1.9313.113.2-0.11
Shawn Marion91900.190.31-0.11-0.1612-31514.917.8-2.8612.615.8-3.19
Jae Crowder2422-0.030.53-0.570.05-312-1516.015.30.7714.312.91.41
Devin Harris3332-0.230.73-0.970.12-1221-3316.115.20.8815.512.33.21
DeJuan Blair1514-0.340.84-1.180.01-1221-3316.715.21.4215.512.92.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 100, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.89,0.84,189.9%
SEA 116, ATL 1190.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.8,0.71,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,188.5%
NYK 101, SEA 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.76,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.83,0.46,0.52,0.7,0.91,0.98,188.4%