inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 77 Excitement5.2 [807] MVPTaj Gibson (CHI): +24.0%
Chicago Bulls 89 Comeback1.8 [640] LVPTony Snell (CHI): -14.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Hill0.110,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.000.031074%0.1100.003100%0.02
Donald Sloan0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00450%0.0300.0000%0.00
David West0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.011247%0.031-0.036100%0.03
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Solomon Hill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Copeland0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00175%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Evan Turner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00433%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03942%0.014-0.071100%0.01
Luis Scola-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00425%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Paul George-0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.07-0.032244%-0.013-0.094100%0.02
Roy Hibbert-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01521%-0.063-0.08475%-0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.120.08-0.041566%0.261-0.025100%0.02
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.060.011364%0.141-0.002100%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.011254%0.0600.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tornike Shengelia00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erik Murphy00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.011050%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.021046%-0.011-0.03683%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.011039%-0.022-0.063100%0.02
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01825%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.0060%-0.102-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.71.827.115.728.02.531.4129.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +30.1%
IND -6.4%
CHI +12.1%
CHI +14.7%
IND -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHINBAINDCHINBA
this game15.716.315.185.698.9105.2
season15.816.3102.7101.1
opponent15.315.299.699.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.816.817.713.715.7
CHI15.816.715.017.616.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-10812.015.8-3.809.516.4-6.94
Solomon Hill22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-10812.015.8-3.809.516.4-6.94
Lavoy Allen22-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-10812.015.8-3.809.516.4-6.94
Chris Copeland99-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-121216.315.60.6918.716.02.64
Ian Mahinmi3231-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-121215.016.1-1.0518.015.42.56
Evan Turner3736-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-9613.817.1-3.3218.314.93.41
Donald Sloan1616-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-5-215.715.70.0517.915.91.93
Luis Scola2726-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.07-7-5-215.715.7-0.0119.015.23.81
David West6868-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-8415.715.8-0.0815.917.6-1.78
George Hill7474-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.21-5-7215.715.7-0.0515.917.9-1.93
Roy Hibbert4850-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-120-1216.614.71.9615.317.5-2.27
Paul George7777-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.24-5-7215.616.5-0.8816.017.8-1.82
Lance Stephenson5657-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-1-1017.113.43.7014.918.6-3.66

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joakim Noah65660.57-0.070.630.0418-62415.418.6-3.1416.413.82.62
Jimmy Butler58590.450.050.410.16102816.815.31.5616.713.82.86
Kirk Hinrich52520.430.070.360.111111014.918.2-3.3716.215.01.28
Mike Dunleavy75740.380.120.260.061111015.221.7-6.5316.113.82.31
Taj Gibson62610.220.28-0.060.1048-417.613.44.1514.817.7-2.97
Carlos Boozer45450.190.31-0.120.0457-215.417.2-1.7316.415.11.29
D.J. Augustin50510.180.32-0.130.1039-618.413.74.7014.617.2-2.55
Tony Snell35340.050.45-0.400.02111-1016.815.90.8813.916.8-2.84
Nazr Mohammed660.020.48-0.45-0.01111-1023.715.87.9014.815.8-0.94
Tornike Shengelia110.000.50-0.500.06-214-162.016.4-14.4510.015.8-5.78
Erik Murphy110.000.50-0.500.06-214-162.016.4-14.4510.015.8-5.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 100, MIL 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,194.5%
IND 76, LAC 880.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.98,1,1,194.4%
UTA 91, PHI 1040.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%