NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	76		Excitement	4.9 [865]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +16.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.5 [979]		LVP	Marcus Haislip (IND): -15.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	12	81%	0.10	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	16	58%	0.08	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
James Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.06	0.02	15	50%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Marcus Haislip	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	10	36%	-0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.06	0.06	16	75%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	14	71%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	53%	0.00	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	45%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.2	15.7	25.0	2.8	28.0	123.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +12.4%

LAC +8.0%

LAC +10.8%

LAC +15.3%

LAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAC	NBA	IND	LAC	NBA
this game	19.3	15.8	15.5	92.7	107.3	104.0
season	16.8	16.0		101.9	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	19.4	18.1	19.5	20.4	19.3
LAC	15.9	17.0	15.5	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tremaine Fowlkes	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-14	16	18.7	19.6	-0.86	17.5	15.1	2.46
Marcus Haislip	42	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-8	4	18.4	20.3	-1.97	15.5	16.1	-0.56
John Edwards	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-7	2	19.0	19.5	-0.48	15.1	16.3	-1.27
David Harrison	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-5	-2	19.5	19.0	0.48	16.3	15.1	1.27
Britton Johnsen	43	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-6	0	19.9	18.7	1.19	16.0	15.6	0.34
Eddie Gill	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	-2	-8	19.1	21.0	-1.94	16.1	13.9	2.19
Fred Jones	75	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	0	-12	19.7	15.4	4.25	15.4	19.9	-4.43
James Jones	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.05	-18	6	-24	19.6	17.1	2.53	15.4	19.1	-3.71

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	2	8	16.4	14.5	1.91	19.2	19.6	-0.38
Corey Maggette	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	16.1	14.6	1.53	19.3	19.5	-0.23
Marko Jaric	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	4	4	15.2	19.1	-3.84	19.4	18.8	0.65
Bobby Simmons	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	1	10	15.2	19.2	-4.07	19.3	19.6	-0.31
Elton Brand	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	15.2	17.7	-2.51	18.7	21.3	-2.62
Rick Brunson	28	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	4	4	16.0	15.7	0.24	19.7	19.1	0.60
Chris Wilcox	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	11	-10	17.5	14.7	2.80	20.7	18.4	2.35
Mikki Moore	16	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	9	-6	15.2	16.0	-0.77	19.1	19.4	-0.22
Chris Kaman	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	13	-14	17.4	15.5	1.89	18.6	19.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.6%
IND 77, CHI 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 100, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%