NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	1.9 [1303]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +11.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	1.0 [1244]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -6.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Charlie Villanueva	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	-0.00	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Gigi Datome	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	14	55%	-0.02	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	14	36%	-0.02	4	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.00	0.10	17	53%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	18	67%	0.11	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.04	16	65%	0.07	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	8	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	45%	0.00	1	-0.00	10	70%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	8	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	55%	-0.02	3	-0.02	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.0	15.8	25.8	2.4	27.6	126.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +25.3%

MIN +8.1%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +5.6%

MIN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	15.1	100.0	111.8	105.2
season	15.0	14.6		104.7	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	15.6	13.5	12.0	13.9
MIN	12.9	17.1	13.1	15.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-21	29	11.6	14.4	-2.79	15.1	14.3	0.79
Gigi Datome	31	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-31	49	11.6	14.9	-3.36	15.1	14.2	0.92
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-26	39	11.8	15.6	-3.81	14.7	14.3	0.39
Jonas Jerebko	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-17	21	12.3	14.9	-2.56	15.6	13.8	1.82
Will Bynum	44	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-25	37	13.1	14.5	-1.45	16.0	13.3	2.75
Andre Drummond	44	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-4	-5	15.3	12.8	2.53	13.4	15.4	-1.96
Greg Monroe	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	14.4	12.9	1.59	14.4	14.5	-0.10
Rodney Stuckey	31	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	2	-17	14.7	13.6	1.11	16.0	13.9	2.10
Brandon Jennings	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	10	-33	14.2	13.4	0.85	14.2	15.0	-0.83
Josh Smith	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.48	-32	19	-51	15.1	12.1	3.00	13.5	15.8	-2.29
Kyle Singler	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.50	-33	20	-53	15.3	11.6	3.70	13.3	16.2	-2.86

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.18	20	-7	27	13.7	17.0	-3.32	13.9	14.0	-0.06
Nikola Pekovic	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.31	24	-11	35	13.7	15.5	-1.80	15.1	12.3	2.78
Ricky Rubio	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.20	20	-7	27	13.8	16.5	-2.72	13.6	15.0	-1.37
Corey Brewer	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.24	21	-8	29	13.4	17.2	-3.79	13.9	13.9	0.07
Kevin Martin	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	-9	31	13.4	16.9	-3.52	14.3	13.1	1.24
Chase Budinger	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.39	-9	22	-31	16.9	13.4	3.52	13.1	14.3	-1.24
Jose Juan Barea	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	21	-29	17.5	13.2	4.30	14.2	13.8	0.46
Luc Mbah a Moute	14	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	10	-7	17.7	13.9	3.77	14.8	13.8	1.04
Shabazz Muhammad	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.27	-6	19	-25	15.9	14.1	1.76	14.6	13.7	0.89
Dante Cunningham	37	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	24	-35	15.6	13.8	1.86	11.9	15.1	-3.27
Gorgui Dieng	15	14	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.33	-11	24	-35	15.9	14.2	1.73	13.6	14.0	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, OKC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
DAL 75, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
GSW 87, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%