NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	76		Excitement	2.6 [1238]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +9.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	1.0 [1291]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -11.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	58%	0.05	4	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	19	55%	0.04	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	8	22%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.23	0.00	-0.12	13	8%	-0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	72%	0.12	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	4	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	17	50%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	8	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.7	29.3	15.8	28.2	1.7	29.3	134.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.2%

LAC +5.7%

NOP -7.2%

LAC +9.2%

LAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	17.4	12.3	15.1	78.4	111.3	105.2
season	15.5	14.3		105.6	111.0
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	18.2	18.3	17.0	15.9	17.4
LAC	9.5	12.2	15.0	13.0	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	25	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-39	46	15.2	18.1	-2.98	12.5	12.3	0.24
Darius Miller	34	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-34	36	16.6	17.8	-1.11	11.8	12.6	-0.81
Greg Stiemsma	61	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-37	42	18.2	16.0	2.18	12.6	11.9	0.71
Austin Rivers	58	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.16	-10	-22	12	17.8	16.7	1.05	12.5	12.0	0.47
Jeff Withey	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-21	10	17.2	17.4	-0.27	9.9	12.9	-3.05
Tyreke Evans	78	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.30	-19	-13	-6	18.1	14.4	3.73	12.8	10.6	2.17
Anthony Davis	40	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.47	-27	-5	-22	17.2	17.5	-0.29	12.9	11.9	0.95
Brian Roberts	48	48	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.17	-22	-10	-12	16.5	18.2	-1.64	12.2	12.4	-0.22
Alexis Ajinca	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.69	-40	8	-48	16.7	18.4	-1.68	12.1	12.7	-0.66
Eric Gordon	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.70	-45	13	-58	18.0	16.2	1.75	12.3	12.4	-0.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	60	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.26	30	2	28	11.7	13.3	-1.54	17.6	16.9	0.71
Blake Griffin	63	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.25	29	3	26	11.8	13.2	-1.36	17.4	17.3	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	54	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.29	27	5	22	11.8	13.0	-1.22	17.9	16.6	1.36
Matt Barnes	48	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.33	27	5	22	11.8	12.8	-1.00	17.6	17.2	0.42
Willie Green	60	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	27	-22	11.7	13.2	-1.49	17.8	16.7	1.04
Darren Collison	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.42	20	12	8	13.5	10.9	2.66	17.4	17.3	0.11
Jared Dudley	49	46	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	27	-22	12.8	11.8	1.00	17.2	17.6	-0.42
Reggie Bullock	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.23	9	23	-14	12.6	12.2	0.32	15.3	17.9	-2.60
Hedo Turkoglu	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	25	-18	13.7	11.8	1.91	19.8	16.5	3.28
Ryan Hollins	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.32	11	21	-10	13.4	12.1	1.38	14.7	17.9	-3.23
Glen Davis	31	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	42	-52	12.4	12.3	0.05	15.7	18.1	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
UTA 79, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAC 93, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%