inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 98 Excitement3.9 [1037] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +12.7%
Miami Heat 112 Comeback1.3 [1279] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -10.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0.090,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.010.041169%0.111-0.027100%0.04
Nikola Vucevic0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.021464%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.020.041064%0.042-0.032100%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02260%0.0000.001100%0.00
Adonis Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01762%0.052-0.06250%-0.01
Andrew Nicholson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02629%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Maurice Harkless-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011152%-0.003-0.02560%-0.02
Doron Lamb-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.0660%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01645%-0.022-0.031060%-0.03
Jameer Nelson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.03-0.04819%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.130.000.01881%0.151-0.025100%0.02
Greg Oden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.02389%0.091-0.00367%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.010.021269%0.132-0.05580%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.020.061473%0.113-0.04580%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01462%0.0600.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.040.01-0.06945%0.042-0.002100%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01362%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Rashard Lewis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Toney Douglas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.00750%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.00387%0.063-0.062100%0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01850%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.51.032.116.426.52.426.6133.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +51.3%
MIA +0.3%
ORL -0.4%
ORL -3.2%
MIA +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game15.815.015.1104.3120.4105.2
season15.315.6100.4109.7
opponent15.815.0105.1105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.216.815.815.615.8
MIA12.516.714.916.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dewayne Dedmon550.00-0.500.50-0.093-172013.815.9-2.1319.214.74.46
Adonis Thomas88-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-192416.715.71.0217.714.73.03
Doron Lamb2625-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-141417.115.31.7416.614.42.22
Kyle O'Quinn4745-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-121014.916.8-1.8914.415.6-1.21
Andrew Nicholson3636-0.20-0.300.11-0.05-5-9416.815.21.5515.914.41.44
Jameer Nelson6363-0.30-0.20-0.110.05-12-2-1015.416.7-1.3814.416.2-1.80
Tobias Harris5857-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-5-415.216.8-1.5514.415.9-1.44
Victor Oladipo5251-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-2-1016.515.01.5714.016.1-2.08
E'Twaun Moore6564-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-5-415.616.3-0.7616.012.83.13
Nikola Vucevic4243-0.37-0.13-0.250.06-151-1617.114.82.3515.114.80.30
Maurice Harkless6868-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-140-1415.317.1-1.7414.416.6-2.22

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers51510.450.050.40-0.0517-32014.016.2-2.2116.415.11.30
LeBron James62640.430.070.360.021401414.216.5-2.3515.516.5-0.95
Shane Battier40400.310.190.13-0.1315-11612.816.6-3.8216.115.60.45
Ray Allen47470.250.250.01-0.07113815.114.80.3015.815.8-0.02
Chris Bosh34350.240.26-0.030.0086214.215.4-1.2617.215.02.20
Chris Andersen37380.230.27-0.04-0.09113815.814.41.3415.316.2-0.84
Dwyane Wade59600.200.30-0.09-0.0077014.316.1-1.7516.015.60.41
Greg Oden25240.180.32-0.130.07410-616.314.51.8315.715.9-0.15
Norris Cole50510.180.32-0.140.21-115-1616.712.93.8115.616.0-0.42
Michael Beasley42420.020.48-0.460.16-519-2415.714.41.2515.016.5-1.44
Udonis Haslem880.000.50-0.500.15-519-2417.714.73.0316.715.71.02
Rashard Lewis550.000.50-0.500.09-317-2019.214.74.4613.815.9-2.13
Toney Douglas550.000.50-0.500.09-317-2019.214.74.4613.815.9-2.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 82, NYK 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
SAC 80, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
NJN 79, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%