inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement4.2 [977] MVPJosh McRoberts (CHA): +13.4%
Charlotte Bobcats 116 Comeback1.0 [942] LVPGreg Monroe (DET): -5.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.021068%0.112-0.042100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.01-0.03440%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kyle Singler0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01856%0.0300.002100%0.01
Will Bynum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.03961%0.052-0.04560%-0.01
Tony Mitchell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01757%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Josh Smith-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.021838%-0.021-0.0310%-0.01
Brandon Jennings-0.050,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.010.041850%-0.022-0.03450%-0.02
Greg Monroe-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.021538%-0.0600.00475%-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.02-0.00883%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.030.032060%0.132-0.04862%-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.00569%0.0800.00683%0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.01779%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.01-0.032053%0.084-0.065100%0.02
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02633%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Adrien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.00756%0.033-0.05475%-0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.03650%0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.632.316.524.81.627.4128.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +40.8%
CHA +1.7%
CHA +9.5%
DET -6.0%
CHA +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHANBADETCHANBA
this game14.614.715.199.0118.4105.2
season15.015.7104.7102.4
opponent15.115.0103.1108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.313.914.713.514.6
CHA13.714.316.014.814.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope680.01-0.510.53-0.104-222612.314.7-2.3813.014.8-1.82
Tony Mitchell120.00-0.500.500.000-181828.014.413.5717.514.62.89
Gigi Datome120.00-0.500.500.000-181828.014.413.5717.514.62.89
Will Bynum4544-0.03-0.470.430.02-2-161413.415.5-2.1414.814.60.26
Jonas Jerebko4044-0.03-0.470.43-0.154-222613.515.3-1.7515.014.40.59
Rodney Stuckey4949-0.12-0.380.25-0.151-192014.214.9-0.6414.814.60.20
Brandon Jennings7372-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-3-1214.514.7-0.2214.415.4-1.02
Kyle Singler6157-0.42-0.08-0.330.17-202-2214.814.20.5314.614.8-0.18
Andre Drummond6767-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-12-6-615.113.41.7615.213.51.79
Greg Monroe6763-0.550.05-0.590.16-246-3014.714.20.4714.215.6-1.40
Josh Smith8582-0.550.05-0.600.21-268-3415.011.73.3214.615.1-0.46

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Jefferson63660.57-0.070.63-0.2327-93614.315.3-0.9515.213.41.76
Kemba Walker82850.55-0.050.60-0.2126-83414.615.1-0.4615.011.73.32
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist47490.440.060.39-0.031621415.114.30.8315.813.32.48
Josh McRoberts62630.440.060.38-0.2022-42615.712.92.7815.213.41.85
Gerald Henderson53540.400.100.30-0.2221-32414.315.1-0.8115.513.52.01
Cody Zeller36360.060.44-0.380.18-422-2612.915.7-2.7813.415.2-1.85
Anthony Tolliver39370.050.45-0.390.08-119-2014.414.8-0.3913.415.3-1.85
Ramon Sessions59600.050.45-0.400.05018-1815.014.20.8613.216.6-3.42
Jannero Pargo760.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.314.7-0.4212.314.7-2.38
Chris Douglas-Roberts760.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.314.7-0.4212.314.7-2.38
Jeff Adrien760.000.50-0.500.12-422-2614.314.7-0.4212.314.7-2.38
Bismack Biyombo2827-0.070.57-0.630.08-523-2815.514.31.2113.614.9-1.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 82, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ORL 80, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%
NYK 88, DET 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%