NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	102		Excitement	5.7 [689]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +23.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.7 [634]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -10.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.10	-0.09	22	57%	0.29	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.05	0.01	11	61%	0.10	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	13	46%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	11	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	9	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.09	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	18	50%	0.02	5	-0.13	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	33.5	15.4	24.4	1.8	26.3	127.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.8%

MIL -3.1%

BOS +5.8%

BOS +18.8%

BOS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.2	15.1	108.5	90.5	105.2
season	15.4	15.7		101.2	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	16.3	18.0	16.0	16.3
MIL	13.8	13.7	16.2	13.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Johnson	48	49	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.03	25	-9	34	15.0	17.6	-2.52	14.4	14.0	0.37
Kris Humphries	29	29	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	5	6	14.5	17.1	-2.54	14.9	13.9	0.99
Kelly Olynyk	43	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	3	10	15.7	16.8	-1.15	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Jerryd Bayless	45	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	2	12	15.9	16.7	-0.79	14.9	13.6	1.28
Jeff Green	85	87	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	6	4	16.8	11.6	5.22	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Phil Pressey	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	14	-12	16.7	15.9	0.79	13.6	14.9	-1.28
Brandon Bass	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	13	-10	16.8	15.7	1.15	14.5	13.8	0.73
Jared Sullinger	65	66	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	11	-6	17.1	14.5	2.54	13.9	14.9	-0.99
Gerald Wallace	55	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	19	-22	16.6	15.8	0.74	14.2	14.3	-0.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	52	52	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-16	16	13.7	14.8	-1.06	17.2	15.1	2.09
Zaza Pachulia	62	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-13	10	14.1	14.4	-0.28	16.4	16.0	0.41
Brandon Knight	79	79	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-9	2	13.9	15.7	-1.85	16.7	13.9	2.79
Nate Wolters	75	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-11	6	14.2	14.1	0.08	16.0	17.0	-1.00
John Henson	74	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-9	2	14.4	13.7	0.70	16.7	15.0	1.61
Miroslav Raduljica	16	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-8	0	15.4	14.0	1.48	13.7	16.7	-3.01
Ekpe Udoh	29	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-3	-10	14.2	14.2	-0.05	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Gary Neal	38	37	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.03	-17	1	-18	14.7	13.9	0.75	15.3	16.9	-1.61
Giannis Antetokounmpo	50	52	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.05	-20	4	-24	14.4	14.0	0.32	16.0	16.6	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, CLE 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
MIL 94, TOR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.2%
CLE 96, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%