inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 87 Excitement5.2 [799] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +11.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers 71 Comeback1.5 [451] LVPLarry Hughes (CLE): -20.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.021173%0.1200.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.03-0.021352%0.0900.007100%0.02
Jason Maxiell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.05-0.01758%0.111-0.03520%-0.06
Antonio McDyess0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.030.05865%0.0500.001100%0.00
Dale Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronald Dupree0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.0120%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Will Blalock-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.060,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.011048%0.023-0.083100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.04-0.050.01950%-0.013-0.102100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.140,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.050.001235%-0.082-0.06250%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.001357%0.071-0.022100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Scot Pollard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.040.032054%0.041-0.048100%0.02
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.0030%-0.061-0.0400%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.030.01933%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.0366%-0.101-0.02425%-0.04
Larry Hughes0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.20-0.15-0.06-0.001730%-0.142-0.07633%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.832.118.825.23.533.4140.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +35.8%
DET +11.5%
DET +6.9%
CLE -3.3%
CLE -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCLENBADETCLENBA
this game16.517.015.4101.282.6104.5
season16.816.0106.1103.2
opponent15.615.799.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.014.316.617.416.5
CLE16.316.316.119.517.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups68690.54-0.040.59-0.0420-42416.018.2-2.1516.917.5-0.56
Tayshaun Prince69690.500.000.50-0.0619-32216.416.8-0.4517.515.22.23
Jason Maxiell29320.480.020.450.071421215.716.9-1.1716.817.1-0.29
Carlos Delfino28290.420.080.330.1597216.516.40.0517.516.80.69
Antonio McDyess39380.380.120.260.06115617.315.71.5919.015.53.49
Nazr Mohammed42400.140.36-0.230.05313-1017.615.42.1616.317.6-1.26
Rasheed Wallace50500.120.38-0.26-0.1188016.017.1-1.1116.018.5-2.49
Richard Hamilton54530.040.46-0.42-0.11511-616.716.10.6416.517.8-1.24
Ronald Murray18180.020.48-0.47-0.01115-1415.216.8-1.6416.417.2-0.73
Ronald Dupree330.000.50-0.500.06-218-2021.716.35.3914.317.1-2.79
Will Blalock1817-0.040.54-0.590.07-420-2418.216.02.1517.516.90.56
Dale Davis1212-0.090.58-0.670.03-420-2413.616.9-3.3517.916.91.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic330.00-0.500.50-0.062-182014.317.1-2.7921.716.35.39
David Wesley330.00-0.500.50-0.062-182014.317.1-2.7921.716.35.39
Scot Pollard330.00-0.500.50-0.062-182014.317.1-2.7921.716.35.39
Eric Snow4242-0.01-0.490.480.11-4-12816.018.0-1.9516.216.7-0.44
Drew Gooden5251-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-131016.118.4-2.2516.716.10.59
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5757-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-6-416.218.6-2.3115.817.7-1.90
Daniel Gibson3130-0.25-0.250.01-0.01-8-8019.015.93.0916.316.6-0.30
Donyell Marshall2626-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-8019.016.12.8917.316.11.15
Damon Jones3233-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.21-4-12817.516.80.7116.216.6-0.46
Anderson Varejao3435-0.34-0.16-0.180.04-13-3-1018.416.12.2516.116.7-0.59
Larry Hughes6969-0.35-0.15-0.210.12-160-1616.718.4-1.7316.516.40.14
LeBron James7878-0.540.04-0.580.05-204-2417.116.20.8516.417.5-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 94, POR 840.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,093.8%
CHI 89, CHA 870.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,093.8%
CLE 96, POR 820.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,093.7%