NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	80		Excitement	2.4 [1258]		MVP	David West (IND): +17.8%
Indiana Pacers	119		Comeback	1.0 [1259]		LVP	Randy Foye (DEN): -9.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	41%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	5	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	19	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Quincy Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.16	0.00	-0.12	5	0%	-0.02	3	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	13	30%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.20	0.00	0.03	13	86%	0.18	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	6	59%	0.06	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.02	0.06	6	64%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	3	70%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.9	15.5	26.5	2.5	29.5	127.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.2%

IND +5.4%

IND +7.2%

DEN -5.1%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	IND	NBA	DEN	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.1	82.5	125.3	105.2
season	14.0	15.8		104.5	102.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		99.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.0	15.1	13.4	14.2	14.1
IND	16.1	16.2	16.6	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	49	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.35	-13	-26	13	14.9	13.3	1.59	16.1	15.7	0.36
Anthony Randolph	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.30	-12	-27	15	15.3	13.6	1.63	16.2	15.8	0.41
Darrell Arthur	24	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-34	29	13.5	14.3	-0.79	17.5	15.4	2.16
Evan Fournier	39	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.41	-19	-20	1	14.3	14.0	0.29	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Timofey Mozgov	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.45	-24	-15	-9	15.1	13.2	1.97	16.1	15.7	0.39
JJ Hickson	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.21	-16	-23	7	13.6	14.8	-1.20	15.9	15.9	-0.06
Quincy Miller	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.47	-27	-12	-15	14.2	14.0	0.19	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Randy Foye	69	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.32	-26	-13	-13	13.6	15.5	-1.97	16.0	15.5	0.49
Wilson Chandler	61	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.40	-29	-10	-19	13.9	14.5	-0.58	15.7	16.2	-0.50
Kenneth Faried	55	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	-15	-9	13.5	15.0	-1.49	15.6	16.2	-0.55

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	53	54	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.39	29	10	19	15.7	16.1	-0.42	14.0	14.3	-0.22
George Hill	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.33	25	14	11	15.7	16.1	-0.43	13.9	14.4	-0.57
Paul George	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.40	27	12	15	15.6	16.2	-0.63	13.7	14.7	-1.04
Lance Stephenson	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	22	-5	16.2	15.4	0.85	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Danny Granger	39	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.14	15	24	-9	17.8	14.6	3.20	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Roy Hibbert	52	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	20	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.3	14.0	0.33
Ian Mahinmi	43	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.38	20	19	1	16.0	15.7	0.30	14.0	14.3	-0.33
CJ Watson	29	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	34	-29	17.9	15.0	2.85	14.0	14.2	-0.15
Luis Scola	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	38	-37	18.1	15.1	3.02	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Rasual Butler	25	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	29	-19	14.6	16.3	-1.69	14.2	14.1	0.03
Solomon Hill	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	30	-21	12.9	16.5	-3.54	15.3	13.9	1.34
Chris Copeland	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	30	-21	12.9	16.5	-3.54	15.3	13.9	1.34
Donald Sloan	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	30	-21	12.9	16.5	-3.54	15.3	13.9	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 102, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,1	97.5%
MIL 93, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
HOU 83, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%