NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	4.7 [886]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +18.8%
Houston Rockets	106		Comeback	1.3 [1158]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	66%	0.13	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	6	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	19	51%	0.04	6	-0.14	3	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.04	-0.02	17	70%	0.24	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.04	12	81%	0.22	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	14	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.4	29.4	16.4	29.6	2.3	29.4	133.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.1%

HOU +8.1%

HOU +7.0%

HOU +5.3%

CLE -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	15.1	94.8	108.2	105.2
season	15.2	14.3		102.8	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	13.6	17.5	13.9	15.0
HOU	15.2	13.6	15.2	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	2	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-11	8	15.0	15.0	0.01	9.5	14.7	-5.16
Tyler Zeller	50	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-15	16	15.5	14.4	1.05	16.4	12.4	3.99
Anthony Bennett	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-7	0	14.2	15.3	-1.09	12.6	15.4	-2.74
Luol Deng	70	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-10	6	15.1	14.7	0.40	15.4	12.3	3.06
CJ Miles	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-7	0	14.7	15.1	-0.42	12.6	15.2	-2.67
Dion Waiters	54	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-11	8	15.4	14.5	0.82	13.2	16.4	-3.20
Kyrie Irving	77	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	15.0	14.9	0.05	15.1	12.7	2.40
Tristan Thompson	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-5	-4	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.4	12.6	2.74
Henry Sims	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.4	15.5	-1.05	12.4	16.4	-3.99
Jarrett Jack	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	2	-18	14.7	15.6	-0.92	15.1	13.5	1.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	62	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-5	24	13.2	16.9	-3.78	15.4	14.3	1.12
Donatas Motiejunas	52	53	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-1	16	12.9	16.4	-3.51	15.8	14.0	1.85
Patrick Beverley	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-1	16	14.8	13.2	1.60	15.0	14.8	0.24
James Harden	71	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	8	-2	15.5	12.1	3.37	15.3	14.1	1.27
Terrence Jones	75	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	5	4	14.5	14.7	-0.25	14.0	17.9	-3.83
Dwight Howard	69	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	10	-6	15.9	11.4	4.41	15.4	14.1	1.22
Omri Casspi	40	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.01	7	7	0	12.5	16.0	-3.47	14.3	15.4	-1.09
Chandler Parsons	38	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	19	-24	16.7	13.2	3.53	14.3	15.5	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.6,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 80, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 107, TOR 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
POR 96, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%