NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	110		Excitement	4.1 [993]		MVP	Al Jefferson (CHA): +14.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.4 [540]		LVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): -6.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	32	57%	0.18	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Josh McRoberts	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	45%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.08	17	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	22	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.00	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	27.6	15.6	24.4	2.0	25.3	122.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.7%

LAL -0.3%

CHA +7.9%

LAL -4.4%

CHA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	15.1	108.9	99.0	105.2
season	15.7	14.0		102.4	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.6	15.5	13.9	16.8	14.9
LAL	14.1	13.3	12.8	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	44	43	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.08	22	-12	34	15.9	14.1	1.86	13.5	13.7	-0.21
Gerald Henderson	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-4	18	14.7	15.5	-0.86	13.9	13.0	0.90
Al Jefferson	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-1	12	14.4	16.9	-2.47	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Ramon Sessions	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	14.1	16.9	-2.72	13.4	14.5	-1.13
Josh McRoberts	73	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	3	4	15.3	13.6	1.74	14.5	11.3	3.23
Cody Zeller	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	13.6	15.3	-1.74	11.3	14.5	-3.23
Jannero Pargo	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	16.9	14.1	2.72	14.5	13.4	1.13
Bismack Biyombo	18	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	11	-12	16.9	14.4	2.47	14.3	13.5	0.75
Chris Douglas-Roberts	23	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	14	-18	15.5	14.7	0.86	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	57	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.29	-12	22	-34	14.1	15.9	-1.86	13.7	13.5	0.21

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	74	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-16	22	13.4	14.3	-0.93	15.0	14.3	0.69
Manny Harris	37	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-7	4	15.0	12.9	2.12	15.1	14.7	0.34
Robert Sacre	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	13.6	13.7	-0.11	15.9	14.4	1.58
Ryan Kelly	70	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-12	14	13.2	14.7	-1.48	15.4	13.6	1.81
Jordan Hill	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	0	-10	15.0	13.2	1.87	12.7	15.6	-2.89
Wesley Johnson	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	0	-10	14.0	13.4	0.60	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Pau Gasol	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	13.7	13.6	0.11	14.4	15.9	-1.58
Nick Young	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	12.8	16.2	-3.33	15.1	14.3	0.80
Jodie Meeks	78	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	7	-24	13.8	13.1	0.68	14.8	15.0	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHA 92, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%