NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	101		Excitement	9.5 [99]		MVP	Randy Foye (DEN): +28.6%
Denver Nuggets	98		Comeback	4.2 [158]		LVP	Evan Fournier (DEN): -17.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	24	58%	0.33	4	-0.16	12	75%	0.04
Gerald Henderson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	-0.04	0.07	-0.04	17	42%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	10	53%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.07
Jannero Pargo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	4	44%	-0.06	1	-0.05	10	40%	-0.15

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.12	0.02	21	67%	0.35	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.12,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	11	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	21	45%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	26.8	15.5	28.5	2.4	34.5	138.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +23.1%

CHA +24.5%

CHA +25.5%

DEN -20.4%

DEN -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DEN	NBA	CHA	DEN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	15.1	96.2	93.3	105.2
season	15.7	14.0		102.4	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.1		106.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	11.3	14.9	13.8	16.2	13.9
DEN	12.7	13.9	14.5	13.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	56	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.46	10	-7	17	13.9	13.8	0.15	14.7	12.2	2.53
Ramon Sessions	79	78	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.48	9	-6	15	13.0	16.6	-3.64	14.0	12.3	1.74
Josh McRoberts	66	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-3	9	14.6	12.7	1.88	14.6	11.8	2.79
Gerald Henderson	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	2	-1	14.3	12.7	1.60	13.9	12.8	1.10
Al Jefferson	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	3	-3	13.6	14.4	-0.83	14.0	12.6	1.47
Bismack Biyombo	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	0	3	14.4	13.6	0.83	12.6	14.0	-1.47
Chris Douglas-Roberts	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	1	1	12.7	14.3	-1.60	12.8	13.9	-1.10
Cody Zeller	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	12.7	14.6	-1.88	11.8	14.6	-2.79
Jannero Pargo	26	27	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	9	-15	16.6	13.0	3.64	12.3	14.0	-1.74
Anthony Tolliver	49	49	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.05	-7	10	-17	13.8	13.9	-0.15	12.2	14.7	-2.53

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	30	31	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.00	8	-11	19	12.5	14.0	-1.43	14.7	13.5	1.23
Timofey Mozgov	63	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.51	17	-20	37	12.5	15.2	-2.69	13.0	15.1	-2.05
Darrell Arthur	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.37	6	-9	15	12.4	14.3	-1.87	12.2	15.0	-2.76
Nate Robinson	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	8	-19	16.2	13.1	3.07	11.6	14.2	-2.58
Evan Fournier	84	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.55	10	-13	23	13.3	14.6	-1.33	14.1	13.0	1.10
Quincy Miller	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	8	-19	12.4	14.1	-1.69	11.5	15.0	-3.44
Kenneth Faried	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	8	-19	14.9	11.9	3.04	15.0	12.4	2.59
JJ Hickson	48	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	15	-33	14.3	12.9	1.36	15.0	12.9	2.07
Wilson Chandler	69	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-2	1	14.2	12.3	1.86	14.3	13.1	1.17
Randy Foye	84	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	1	-5	13.7	13.0	0.63	14.3	12.0	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.66,0.33,0.55,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.58,0	91.4%
MEM 104, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.68,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.27,0	90.9%
NJN 95, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.34,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0	90.6%