NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	3.6 [1093]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -11.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	15	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Tobias Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	14	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.01	-0.05	20	70%	0.24	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	20	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	13	43%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Julyan Stone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	27.0	15.5	28.4	2.3	25.7	123.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.3%

ORL -4.6%

TOR +7.0%

ORL -2.7%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	15.9	15.1	91.2	108.9	105.2
season	15.3	15.9		100.4	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		104.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	19.3	14.0	14.7	15.9
TOR	15.4	14.0	14.8	19.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	13.3	16.1	-2.83	17.0	15.8	1.15
E'Twaun Moore	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.14	1	-16	17	13.5	17.5	-3.98	17.2	15.0	2.23
Maurice Harkless	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-13	11	19.3	14.8	4.51	14.0	16.5	-2.45
Kyle O'Quinn	28	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-11	7	14.7	16.4	-1.66	14.4	16.6	-2.16
Glen Davis	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-8	1	16.1	15.6	0.50	17.2	13.7	3.52
Nikola Vucevic	38	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	17.1	15.0	2.11	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Tobias Harris	52	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-3	-9	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Jameer Nelson	73	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	0	-15	16.5	13.6	2.92	16.1	15.1	1.08
Arron Afflalo	67	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-3	-9	15.8	16.2	-0.36	15.1	18.3	-3.20
Victor Oladipo	74	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	2	-19	15.6	17.3	-1.71	16.3	14.3	2.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-4	23	16.0	15.8	0.17	15.7	16.7	-1.06
Amir Johnson	65	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-7	29	16.1	15.6	0.50	16.3	14.7	1.68
Greivis Vasquez	69	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.09	10	5	5	16.2	15.0	1.27	16.2	14.8	1.41
Jonas Valanciunas	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.06	14	1	13	16.9	14.2	2.69	16.5	14.9	1.67
Terrence Ross	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	1	13	16.6	13.8	2.82	15.7	16.6	-0.95
John Salmons	44	46	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	10	-5	14.4	17.4	-2.96	15.6	16.2	-0.55
Charles Hayes	23	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	8	-1	14.0	16.6	-2.64	16.1	15.8	0.30
Julyan Stone	13	15	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	17	-19	14.8	16.1	-1.26	16.9	15.7	1.24
Steve Novak	25	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	21	-27	15.9	15.9	-0.00	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Tyler Hansbrough	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	23	-31	15.4	16.0	-0.63	11.7	16.5	-4.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, NOH 123	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
LAL 97, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 94, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%