NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	88		Excitement	8.8 [154]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (GSW): +8.9%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	3.0 [140]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -17.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
John Wall	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,0.03,0.03	-0.13	0.14	-0.02	19	39%	0.16	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	41%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	19	53%	0.12	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	69%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.00	10	37%	0.02	3	-0.09	10	70%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	23	44%	0.02	6	-0.20	6	83%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	17	38%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	23.5	14.8	25.3	2.4	32.4	128.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +31.0%

GSW -14.0%

WAS +13.3%

WAS +14.9%

WAS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	12.2	15.1	85.4	81.7	105.2
season	15.1	14.2		103.8	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		102.0	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.4	17.5	15.4	18.4	15.7
GSW	12.0	12.0	11.9	12.9	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-5	13	14.8	18.6	-3.77	12.0	12.6	-0.57
Trevor Ariza	84	85	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-4	11	15.0	18.8	-3.81	12.1	12.5	-0.44
Marcin Gortat	82	84	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-5	13	14.7	19.5	-4.77	12.2	12.2	-0.05
Nene	76	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-4	11	15.8	15.3	0.52	12.1	12.4	-0.36
Bradley Beal	64	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	0	3	15.9	15.3	0.60	12.5	11.6	0.92
Martell Webster	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	5	-7	16.7	14.2	2.50	11.6	12.9	-1.28
Garrett Temple	11	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	18.5	15.3	3.11	10.7	12.3	-1.60
Eric Maynor	12	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	8	-13	18.7	15.3	3.48	14.3	11.9	2.45
Trevor Booker	47	46	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	14	-25	16.8	14.8	2.00	12.7	11.7	0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	30	30	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-8	13	12.8	11.9	0.94	17.5	14.9	2.62
Harrison Barnes	47	46	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-11	19	11.9	12.4	-0.41	17.0	14.6	2.39
Draymond Green	34	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-12	21	11.5	12.5	-0.99	16.8	15.2	1.69
Marreese Speights	29	28	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	12.2	12.1	0.06	17.2	15.1	2.06
Kent Bazemore	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	1.0	12.3	-11.27	0.0	15.7	-15.68
Klay Thompson	87	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-5	7	12.2	12.1	0.05	16.3	12.9	3.31
David Lee	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	9	-21	12.4	11.7	0.73	15.2	16.8	-1.69
Andrew Bogut	64	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	8	-19	12.6	11.4	1.20	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Andre Iguodala	74	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	5	-13	11.9	12.8	-0.94	14.9	17.5	-2.62
Stephen Curry	83	84	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.49	-9	6	-15	12.1	12.3	-0.21	14.8	19.7	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 89, CHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.17,0,0	91.2%
OKC 97, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.09,0	90.7%
DAL 112, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.01,0	90.7%