NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	12.9 [14]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): +66.2%
Chicago Bulls	102		Comeback	8.1 [260]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -47.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.41	0.09	0.33	0.01	23	58%	0.60	4	-0.19	7	86%	0.21
Jordan Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.11	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.08	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	9	28%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.1,0.28,0.24,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.16,-0.32	-0.02	-0.35	-0.05	15	57%	0.14	5	-0.46	5	80%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.6,0.73,0.66	0.66	0.15	0.52	0.00	16	77%	0.80	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,0.2	0.20	-0.04	0.24	0.00	11	41%	0.24	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.06
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.04	-0.07	19	32%	0.11	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	12	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	16	31%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.16	-0.00	7	43%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47,-0.47	-0.47	-0.10	-0.37	0.00	16	42%	-0.25	4	-0.23	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	26.3	16.8	25.1	1.8	33.2	1.5	14.6	146.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +24.6%

LAL -46.1%

CHI +25.7%

CHI +45.1%

CHI +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	16.4	15.1	92.6	96.2	105.2
season	14.0	16.3		102.9	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.8		99.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	13.7	12.6	13.5	13.4	14.0	13.4
CHI	16.3	17.4	14.7	17.9	14.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	27	28	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-7	12	13.7	13.3	0.48	17.1	16.1	1.05
Robert Sacre	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-7	12	13.7	13.2	0.51	17.3	16.0	1.30
Kendall Marshall	80	80	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-5	8	13.3	13.7	-0.40	16.7	15.3	1.35
Jordan Hill	32	32	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-4	6	13.8	13.2	0.66	16.6	16.3	0.32
Jodie Meeks	88	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.52	6	-8	14	13.2	14.2	-1.07	16.7	14.8	1.87
Pau Gasol	76	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	2	-6	13.2	13.8	-0.66	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Ryan Kelly	72	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.44	-6	4	-10	13.1	13.9	-0.81	15.9	17.3	-1.33
Manny Harris	46	43	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	9	-20	13.8	13.0	0.82	15.1	17.3	-2.18
Nick Young	88	86	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.42	-10	8	-18	13.4	13.2	0.16	16.1	17.3	-1.21

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	48	46	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.72	6	-4	10	15.4	17.2	-1.74	13.5	13.3	0.17
Joakim Noah	84	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.43	10	-8	18	16.4	16.2	0.23	13.5	13.1	0.37
Taj Gibson	63	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	16.2	16.7	-0.48	13.4	13.3	0.17
D.J. Augustin	72	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.49	-3	5	-8	16.7	15.6	1.19	13.2	13.7	-0.50
Kirk Hinrich	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	15.5	16.9	-1.44	13.7	13.2	0.57
Carlos Boozer	56	57	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-3	8	16.4	16.4	-0.02	13.4	13.4	-0.06
Jimmy Butler	89	89	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	2	-2	16.7	14.8	1.84	13.3	13.9	-0.63
Nazr Mohammed	9	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	10	-18	17.3	16.3	1.05	12.3	13.5	-1.14
Mike Dunleavy	58	62	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	-0.28	-4	6	-10	17.2	15.4	1.74	13.3	13.5	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.35,0.54,0.71,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.69,0.85,1	88.4%
CLE 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.58,1	88.1%
MIA 88, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.77,0.99,1	87.8%