NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Excitement	7.4 [342]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +27.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	2.5 [447]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -19.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	28	57%	0.25	4	-0.14	9	78%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	14	57%	0.02	7	-0.22	2	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.01	15	71%	0.31	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	55%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	18	49%	0.08	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.06	-0.02	21	43%	0.08	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	32.2	16.3	27.2	1.0	37.1	139.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +26.7%

MEM +8.0%

OKC -10.5%

MEM +22.0%

MEM +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	16.8	15.1	93.5	96.8	105.2
season	14.4	16.4		107.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	15.8	14.4	13.0	14.2
MEM	17.0	16.2	17.7	16.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	38	37	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.39	16	-19	35	13.9	14.4	-0.49	14.8	18.1	-3.28
Steven Adams	41	39	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.26	10	-13	23	14.3	14.1	0.20	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Derek Fisher	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-13	23	14.1	14.2	-0.10	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Jeremy Lamb	57	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.49	12	-15	27	13.6	15.1	-1.56	16.2	17.7	-1.57
Kendrick Perkins	32	32	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.13	-16	13	-29	15.2	13.6	1.63	17.7	16.3	1.38
Thabo Sefolosha	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	12	-27	15.1	13.6	1.56	17.7	16.2	1.57
Reggie Jackson	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	1	-5	14.4	13.4	0.94	16.6	17.7	-1.09
Kevin Durant	80	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	8	-19	13.7	17.2	-3.45	17.0	15.7	1.28
Serge Ibaka	65	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.24	-17	14	-31	14.2	14.2	0.01	17.9	14.3	3.58

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	65	67	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-13	29	17.5	15.2	2.25	14.3	13.9	0.36
Courtney Lee	68	70	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.26	15	-12	27	17.2	15.6	1.68	14.3	13.7	0.65
Mike Conley	70	69	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-7	17	16.8	16.7	0.12	14.6	13.0	1.54
Zach Randolph	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-5	13	17.0	15.7	1.25	13.6	17.5	-3.91
Marc Gasol	45	45	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	-1	5	17.5	16.1	1.32	14.5	13.9	0.68
Ed Davis	44	43	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	-1	5	16.2	17.3	-1.19	14.7	13.8	0.91
James Johnson	40	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.35	-10	13	-23	16.4	17.0	-0.59	13.9	14.4	-0.44
Nick Calathes	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	8	-13	15.7	17.1	-1.32	12.3	14.7	-2.39
Jon Leuer	8	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	14.4	17.0	-2.64	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Kosta Koufos	6	6	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.03	-6	9	-15	15.2	16.9	-1.73	17.0	14.0	3.01
Mike Miller	22	21	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.12	-17	20	-37	15.3	17.3	-1.98	14.3	14.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MIA 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,1	93.1%
IND 88, CHH 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1	93.1%
ATL 132, BOS 137	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.4%