NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	5.1 [822]		MVP	Garrett Temple (WAS): +11.6%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.0 [627]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -13.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	4	67%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.02	10	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	14	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	6	17%	-0.06
Bradley Beal	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	14	53%	0.07	5	-0.11	8	87%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.3	33.5	15.4	23.2	1.8	32.3	131.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +30.9%

WAS +8.3%

CHI -1.7%

WAS +11.5%

WAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	16.2	15.1	113.3	96.7	105.2
season	15.1	16.3		103.8	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.1	15.7	15.7	17.0	15.6
CHI	16.5	15.6	15.6	17.3	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	66	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	2	10	15.5	15.8	-0.26	15.7	17.9	-2.17
Bradley Beal	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-2	18	15.6	15.6	-0.06	17.9	13.8	4.01
Trevor Ariza	73	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	2	10	15.7	15.0	0.74	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Trevor Booker	45	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	6	2	15.5	15.7	-0.27	16.2	16.2	-0.05
John Wall	69	70	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	15.5	16.0	-0.58	16.0	17.0	-1.08
Martell Webster	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	12	-10	15.3	16.0	-0.67	14.8	18.3	-3.51
Garrett Temple	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	6	2	14.7	15.9	-1.16	15.9	16.3	-0.47
Nene	65	64	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	16.3	13.8	2.55	17.2	13.9	3.31

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-16	18	14.0	16.7	-2.73	16.1	15.5	0.64
Mike Dunleavy	54	56	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.17	5	-19	24	15.6	17.2	-1.59	15.9	15.1	0.78
Nazr Mohammed	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-12	10	26.0	16.1	9.89	18.0	15.5	2.45
Joakim Noah	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-8	2	16.8	14.4	2.39	15.9	14.5	1.40
Carlos Boozer	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-7	0	16.4	15.9	0.42	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Tony Snell	31	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-3	-8	16.4	16.1	0.20	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Kirk Hinrich	51	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	0	-14	16.4	16.0	0.39	15.9	15.2	0.65
D.J. Augustin	49	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.8	15.5	1.25	15.8	15.4	0.37
Taj Gibson	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	-1	-12	15.1	17.6	-2.57	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Jimmy Butler	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	-1	-12	16.7	14.6	2.01	15.0	17.7	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.06,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.1%
MIA 90, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
LAC 94, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.22,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%