NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	1.3 [1019]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): +9.1%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	2.2 [837]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -18.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	7	80%	0.09	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.02	-0.06	13	50%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	17	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	18	56%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	60%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	18	42%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	21	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.2	15.4	24.6	2.3	37.4	130.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.6%

HOU +2.8%

BOS -3.4%

HOU +9.6%

BOS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	14.8	15.1	102.0	91.1	105.2
season	14.3	15.4		109.5	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		106.0	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	12.6	13.4	13.1	13.6
BOS	14.1	16.2	15.4	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Jones	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-6	24	13.9	12.5	1.41	14.9	14.6	0.31
Chandler Parsons	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-2	16	13.6	13.6	-0.05	15.0	14.1	0.88
James Harden	82	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	0	12	13.5	13.7	-0.15	14.3	16.8	-2.45
Dwight Howard	80	79	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	4	4	13.5	13.9	-0.36	14.0	17.7	-3.74
Jeremy Lin	75	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	8	-4	13.9	12.6	1.29	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Francisco Garcia	24	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	4	4	14.2	13.4	0.82	16.4	14.3	2.11
Omri Casspi	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	14	-16	13.2	13.9	-0.78	16.1	13.7	2.36
Aaron Brooks	33	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	10	-8	13.2	13.8	-0.54	15.7	14.4	1.28
Ronnie Brewer	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	16	-20	11.3	13.9	-2.58	13.7	14.9	-1.21

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	55	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-20	28	14.3	15.4	-1.12	13.2	14.0	-0.85
MarShon Brooks	27	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-19	26	13.5	15.3	-1.75	13.1	13.7	-0.59
Vitor Faverani	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-11	10	15.3	14.7	0.58	14.5	13.5	1.00
Jerryd Bayless	51	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-13	14	14.7	14.9	-0.27	12.4	14.7	-2.29
Phil Pressey	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-5	-2	17.9	14.6	3.28	14.1	13.5	0.61
Gerald Wallace	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	16.2	13.9	2.29	13.9	13.4	0.57
Kelly Olynyk	46	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-3	-6	15.4	14.3	1.04	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Jared Sullinger	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.7	13.5	0.21
Jordan Crawford	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	14.8	14.8	0.00	14.7	12.4	2.29
Jeff Green	56	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	0	-12	15.0	14.6	0.44	14.4	12.5	1.89
Avery Bradley	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-2	-8	13.9	17.5	-3.63	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Kris Humphries	43	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	3	-18	15.2	14.5	0.71	14.0	13.2	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 107, GSW 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
IND 108, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 107, NOP 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%